{
  "schema": "termix-sim/T1-mvp/v1",
  "artefact": "T1-full-confirmatory",
  "mvp": false,
  "quotable": true,
  "disclaimer": "FULL RUN. OFFCHAIN-SIM. These numbers are the study's result and may be quoted WITH their label and their limitations: the human arms are MODELLED and not measured, the venue is one Aave-V3-shaped rule tuple, the liquidator is a testnet-shaped LogNormal(median 15 s), and nothing here is a claim about money on BSC mainnet.",
  "label": "OFFCHAIN-SIM",
  "generatedAtUtc": "2026-09-07T18:12:23.600Z",
  "design": {
    "task": "T1 防清算 — liquidation protection. T2 and T3 are not in this study.",
    "factors": "Shock (4) x Clock (2) x Books (2) = 16 cells, crossed",
    "pathsPerCell": 50,
    "nPaths": 800,
    "arms": [
      "A",
      "H1",
      "H2",
      "H3",
      "P"
    ],
    "confirmatoryArms": [
      "A",
      "H2"
    ],
    "exploratoryArms": [
      "H1",
      "H3",
      "P"
    ],
    "nRuns": 4000,
    "nBookRuns": 8000,
    "booksLevels": [
      1,
      3
    ],
    "booksModel": {
      "market": "One price path shared by every book — they are positions in one market, so the shock is common.",
      "liquidator": "INDEPENDENT per book, exogenousRng(pathId, 'liquidator', k). Three accounts attract three searchers. This is the choice that favours the sequential human; perfectly correlated liquidators would kill every book at once and hand arm A the axis.",
      "agent": "Round-robin, one protect per block: book k is broadcast 3 s behind book 0. Conservative — a keeper batching consecutive nonces lands every book in one block, so this over-charges arm A.",
      "human": "Sequential hands: one notice draw for the portfolio, then +45 s per extra book (REPORT-PLAN §3.1). The human is not given a triage rule; books are worked in index order."
    },
    "armRRemoved": "Arm R is removed by the operator's decision and has no substitute. A judge who rejects modelled baselines is left with P.",
    "chain": "Nothing new on chain. BSC 56 / 97 only. Testnet U and mock tokens are never converted to dollars."
  },
  "confirmatory": {
    "family": "REPORT-PLAN §5 pre-registers a Holm-corrected family of four (C1, C1b, C2, C3). T2 and T3 are not in this study, so the family ACTUALLY RUN is two: C1 and C1b. A p corrected over two is not comparable with a p corrected over four, and this record says which was applied.",
    "c1": {
      "comparison": "A-vs-H2",
      "nPairs": 800,
      "medianGapFractionOfOpening": 0.015535402229657668,
      "wilcoxon": {
        "n": 800,
        "nNonZero": 732,
        "W": 265847,
        "z": 23.01388240948766,
        "pTwoSided": 3.384803596176063e-117,
        "method": "normal-approximation",
        "wMinus": 2431,
        "expectedW": 134139,
        "sdW": 5722.95876273803,
        "hasTies": true
      },
      "bootstrapCi": {
        "median": 0.015535402229657668,
        "lo": 0.014593544465745787,
        "hi": 0.01669611551513931,
        "iters": 10000,
        "alpha": 0.05,
        "z0": -0.015291028334377833,
        "acceleration": 1.9473784494873668e-13,
        "accelerationDegenerate": true,
        "distinctJackknifeValues": 2,
        "alphaLo": 0.023265408735667455,
        "alphaHi": 0.97315826721107,
        "method": "BCa",
        "seed": 90000
      },
      "cliffsDelta": 0.4121875,
      "aAheadOnPaths": 710,
      "aBehindOnPaths": 22,
      "exactTies": 68,
      "test": "C1",
      "endpoint": "cost-inclusive terminal equity, as a fraction of opening equity, paired"
    },
    "c1b": {
      "alpha": 0.05,
      "endpoint": "CVaR(5%) of E(T)/E(0) − 1 — the mean of the worst 5% of paths, ranked on each path's own return",
      "cvarA": -0.6326087386106687,
      "cvarB": -0.6356030766165964,
      "gapFractionOfOpening": 0.0029943380059277436,
      "ci": {
        "lo": 0.0010298186110740959,
        "hi": 0.006529523822395689,
        "iters": 10000,
        "seed": 90500,
        "method": "paired percentile bootstrap over PATHS — both arms recomputed on the same resampled paths"
      },
      "pTwoSided": 0.00009999000099990002,
      "nPairs": 800,
      "tail": {
        "k": 40,
        "nCellsContributing": 4,
        "cellsContributing": [
          "wick-persist-night-b1",
          "wick-persist-night-b3",
          "wick-persist-work-b1",
          "wick-persist-work-b3"
        ],
        "booksRepresented": [
          1,
          3
        ],
        "perArm": [
          {
            "arm": "A",
            "byCell": [
              {
                "cellId": "wick-persist-work-b1",
                "n": 17
              },
              {
                "cellId": "wick-persist-night-b1",
                "n": 10
              },
              {
                "cellId": "wick-persist-night-b3",
                "n": 8
              },
              {
                "cellId": "wick-persist-work-b3",
                "n": 5
              }
            ],
            "byBooks": [
              {
                "books": 1,
                "n": 27
              },
              {
                "books": 3,
                "n": 13
              }
            ]
          },
          {
            "arm": "H2",
            "byCell": [
              {
                "cellId": "wick-persist-night-b3",
                "n": 13
              },
              {
                "cellId": "wick-persist-work-b3",
                "n": 12
              },
              {
                "cellId": "wick-persist-night-b1",
                "n": 10
              },
              {
                "cellId": "wick-persist-work-b1",
                "n": 5
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            ],
            "byBooks": [
              {
                "books": 1,
                "n": 15
              },
              {
                "books": 3,
                "n": 25
              }
            ]
          }
        ]
      },
      "byBookLevel": [
        {
          "books": 1,
          "nPairs": 400,
          "cvarAN": 540.1626186594304,
          "cvarBN": 538.7736698665988,
          "gapN": 1.388948792831684,
          "openingEquityN": 1478.2518518518523,
          "gapFractionOfOpening": 0.0009395887386115596,
          "nCellsContributing": 2
        },
        {
          "books": 3,
          "nPairs": 400,
          "cvarAN": 1656.3922866219768,
          "cvarBN": 1615.8992025167975,
          "gapN": 40.49308410517938,
          "openingEquityN": 4434.755555555557,
          "gapFractionOfOpening": 0.009130849174866566,
          "nCellsContributing": 2
        }
      ],
      "method": "CVaR(5%) is the mean of the worst 5% of paths, ranked on E(T)/E(0) − 1 — a SCALE-FREE endpoint, so the tail is not a selection on portfolio size. The gap is CVaR(A) - CVaR(H2), already a fraction of opening equity; the interval and the p-value come from resampling PATHS with replacement and recomputing both arms on the same resample, so the pairing is preserved inside every replicate.",
      "test": "C1b",
      "reportedQuantity": "gap in CVaR(5%) of E(T)/E(0) − 1, arm A minus arm H2, in bps of opening equity. The −1 shifts both arms' levels by the same constant, so the GAP is identical on E(T)/E(0) and on the return; the LEVELS are not, which is why they are labelled separately."
    },
    "holm": [
      {
        "id": "C1",
        "comparison": "A-vs-H2 · median paired terminal equity",
        "pRaw": 3.384803596176063e-117,
        "pAdjusted": 6.769607192352127e-117,
        "rejectedAt05": true
      },
      {
        "id": "C1b",
        "comparison": "A-vs-H2 · gap in CVaR(5%) of E(T)/E(0) − 1",
        "pRaw": 0.00009999000099990002,
        "pAdjusted": 0.00009999000099990002,
        "rejectedAt05": true
      }
    ],
    "note": "Both tests are TWO-SIDED, which is the conservative choice against a pre-registered direction: a one-sided test at the same alpha would halve each p. The observed direction is recorded separately so a result in the unexpected direction would be visible rather than absorbed."
  },
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          "fallbackReason": "every bootstrap replicate was >= the point estimate, so the bias correction z0 is -Infinity",
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        "medianGapAvsH2": 0.5328497530971628,
        "meanGapAvsH2": 0.3336075729402006,
        "aWins": 31,
        "h2Wins": 7,
        "exactTies": 12,
        "medianGapAvsH1": 0,
        "medianGapAvsH3": 0.5328497530971628,
        "medianGapAvsP": 0.5328497530971628,
        "medianGapAvsH2Ci95": {
          "median": 0.5328497530971628,
          "lo": 0,
          "hi": 0.5359368292772801,
          "iters": 10000,
          "alpha": 0.05,
          "z0": -0.078286696045326,
          "acceleration": 2.399175652810143e-13,
          "accelerationDegenerate": true,
          "distinctJackknifeValues": 2,
          "alphaLo": 0.017149564910583472,
          "alphaHi": 0.964336552988208,
          "method": "BCa",
          "seed": 91014
        },
        "medianGapAvsH2Ci50": {
          "median": 0.5328497530971628,
          "lo": 0.5303661466261467,
          "hi": 0.5343693351942592,
          "iters": 10000,
          "alpha": 0.5,
          "z0": -0.078286696045326,
          "acceleration": 2.399175652810143e-13,
          "accelerationDegenerate": true,
          "distinctJackknifeValues": 2,
          "alphaLo": 0.20296897998902447,
          "alphaHi": 0.6977416858566527,
          "method": "BCa",
          "seed": 91014
        },
        "bookSurvival": {
          "A": 0.76,
          "H1": 0.66,
          "H2": 0.14,
          "H3": 0.14,
          "P": 0.14
        },
        "portfolioSurvival": {
          "A": 0.76,
          "H1": 0.66,
          "H2": 0.14,
          "H3": 0.14,
          "P": 0.14
        },
        "realisedCloseFactorBps": [
          10000
        ],
        "nSeizures": 158,
        "minHfAtSeizure": 0.8770251512700001,
        "stage3MedianGapAvsH2": 0.5328497530971628
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-night-b3",
        "shock": "wick-1block",
        "clock": "night",
        "books": 3,
        "nPairs": 50,
        "medianGapAvsH2": 0.1816684634049983,
        "meanGapAvsH2": 0.2403256939497521,
        "aWins": 44,
        "h2Wins": 2,
        "exactTies": 4,
        "medianGapAvsH1": 0.17811164641726202,
        "medianGapAvsH3": 0.1816684634049983,
        "medianGapAvsP": 0.1816684634049983,
        "medianGapAvsH2Ci95": {
          "median": 0.1816684634049983,
          "lo": 0.17968984725711226,
          "hi": 0.3547149610125553,
          "iters": 10000,
          "alpha": 0.05,
          "z0": -0.06521853970954372,
          "acceleration": 1.7975773572031473e-14,
          "accelerationDegenerate": true,
          "distinctJackknifeValues": 2,
          "alphaLo": 0.018290893703374247,
          "alphaHi": 0.9663396437297174,
          "method": "BCa",
          "seed": 91015
        },
        "medianGapAvsH2Ci50": {
          "median": 0.1816684634049983,
          "lo": 0.18087523600446664,
          "hi": 0.1830022853440058,
          "iters": 10000,
          "alpha": 0.5,
          "z0": -0.06521853970954372,
          "acceleration": 1.7975773572031473e-14,
          "accelerationDegenerate": true,
          "distinctJackknifeValues": 2,
          "alphaLo": 0.21043095247580584,
          "alphaHi": 0.7067973858163619,
          "method": "BCa",
          "seed": 91015
        },
        "bookSurvival": {
          "A": 0.5666666666666667,
          "H1": 0.36,
          "H2": 0.12,
          "H3": 0.12,
          "P": 0.12
        },
        "portfolioSurvival": {
          "A": 0.12,
          "H1": 0.02,
          "H2": 0,
          "H3": 0,
          "P": 0
        },
        "realisedCloseFactorBps": [
          10000
        ],
        "nSeizures": 557,
        "minHfAtSeizure": 0.8769785296371427,
        "stage3MedianGapAvsH2": 0.1816684634049983
      }
    ],
    "byBooks": [
      {
        "books": 1,
        "nPairs": 400,
        "medianGapAvsH2": 0.014593544465745787,
        "meanGapAvsH2": 0.09362893471125994,
        "materialMedianGapAvsH2": 0.017602708454382443,
        "aAheadOfH2": 333,
        "aBehindH2": 13,
        "tiedWithH2": 54,
        "medianGapAvsH1": 0,
        "meanGapAvsH1": 0.006160117035605313,
        "materialMedianGapAvsH1": 0.000003880272250609769,
        "aAheadOfH1": 67,
        "aBehindH1": 36,
        "tiedWithH1": 297,
        "medianGapAvsP": 0.016208105227259323,
        "bookSurvival": {
          "A": 0.865,
          "H1": 0.835,
          "H2": 0.18,
          "H3": 0.1875,
          "P": 0.0325
        },
        "portfolioSurvival": {
          "A": 0.865,
          "H1": 0.835,
          "H2": 0.18,
          "H3": 0.1875,
          "P": 0.0325
        },
        "medianProtectsPerBookA": 1,
        "medianLatencyLastBookSecA": 12.059527726611122
      },
      {
        "books": 3,
        "nPairs": 400,
        "medianGapAvsH2": 0.015982599441472994,
        "meanGapAvsH2": 0.0680963712977661,
        "materialMedianGapAvsH2": 0.0163642482607836,
        "aAheadOfH2": 377,
        "aBehindH2": 9,
        "tiedWithH2": 14,
        "medianGapAvsH1": 0.000012117447414959203,
        "meanGapAvsH1": 0.03358133581030494,
        "materialMedianGapAvsH1": 0.000013253903356159672,
        "aAheadOfH1": 328,
        "aBehindH1": 16,
        "tiedWithH1": 56,
        "medianGapAvsP": 0.0165197799530232,
        "bookSurvival": {
          "A": 0.7675,
          "H1": 0.6316666666666667,
          "H2": 0.15,
          "H3": 0.165,
          "P": 0.030833333333333334
        },
        "portfolioSurvival": {
          "A": 0.5675,
          "H1": 0.5025,
          "H2": 0.1,
          "H3": 0.1175,
          "P": 0
        },
        "medianProtectsPerBookA": 1,
        "medianLatencyLastBookSecA": 16.90890963189304
      }
    ],
    "byShock": [
      {
        "shock": "grind",
        "nPairs": 200,
        "medianGapAvsH2": 0.00688655459071817,
        "medianGapAvsH1": 0
      },
      {
        "shock": "crash",
        "nPairs": 200,
        "medianGapAvsH2": 0.01679393690507277,
        "medianGapAvsH1": 0.0000088277329613175
      },
      {
        "shock": "wick-persist",
        "nPairs": 200,
        "medianGapAvsH2": 0.02985626545377823,
        "medianGapAvsH1": 0
      },
      {
        "shock": "wick-1block",
        "nPairs": 200,
        "medianGapAvsH2": 0.18301753769821094,
        "medianGapAvsH1": 0
      }
    ],
    "byClock": [
      {
        "clock": "work",
        "nPairs": 400,
        "medianGapAvsH2": 0.014936352229085504,
        "medianGapAvsH1": 0
      },
      {
        "clock": "night",
        "nPairs": 400,
        "medianGapAvsH2": 0.016444770715425792,
        "medianGapAvsH1": 6.151150442341991e-8
      }
    ],
    "booksInteraction": {
      "question": "Does the agent's advantage GROW with the number of books? Sequential hands cost 45 s per extra book; a round-robin keeper costs one block. The difference of differences is the answer.",
      "medianGapAvsH2AtOneBook": 0.014593544465745787,
      "medianGapAvsH2AtThreeBooks": 0.015982599441472994,
      "differenceOfDifferencesAvsH2": 0.0013890549757272063,
      "meanDifferenceOfDifferencesAvsH2": -0.02553256341349383,
      "medianGapAvsH1AtOneBook": 0,
      "medianGapAvsH1AtThreeBooks": 0.000012117447414959203,
      "differenceOfDifferencesAvsH1": 0.000012117447414959203,
      "meanDifferenceOfDifferencesAvsH1": 0.027421218774699625,
      "materialDifferenceOfDifferencesAvsH1": 0.000009373631105549903,
      "bookSurvivalA": {
        "one": 0.865,
        "three": 0.7675,
        "change": -0.09750000000000003
      },
      "bookSurvivalH1": {
        "one": 0.835,
        "three": 0.6316666666666667,
        "change": -0.20333333333333325
      },
      "bookSurvivalH2": {
        "one": 0.18,
        "three": 0.15,
        "change": -0.03
      },
      "bookSurvivalH3": {
        "one": 0.1875,
        "three": 0.165,
        "change": -0.022499999999999992
      },
      "survivalAdvantageOverH1": {
        "one": 0.030000000000000027,
        "three": 0.13583333333333325
      },
      "survivalAdvantageOverH2": {
        "one": 0.685,
        "three": 0.6174999999999999
      },
      "byShockAndBooks": [
        {
          "shock": "grind",
          "books": 1,
          "nPairs": 100,
          "medianGapAvsH2": 0.00688655459071817,
          "medianGapAvsH1": 0,
          "materialMedianGapAvsH1": null,
          "aAheadOfH1": 0,
          "aBehindH1": 0,
          "tiedWithH1": 100,
          "bookSurvivalA": 1,
          "bookSurvivalH1": 1,
          "bookSurvivalH2": 0.41
        },
        {
          "shock": "grind",
          "books": 3,
          "nPairs": 100,
          "medianGapAvsH2": 0.006847285221214255,
          "medianGapAvsH1": 4.1182130895228e-7,
          "materialMedianGapAvsH1": 4.1182130895228e-7,
          "aAheadOfH1": 97,
          "aBehindH1": 3,
          "tiedWithH1": 0,
          "bookSurvivalA": 1,
          "bookSurvivalH1": 1,
          "bookSurvivalH2": 0.38
        },
        {
          "shock": "crash",
          "books": 1,
          "nPairs": 100,
          "medianGapAvsH2": 0.016769713735467692,
          "medianGapAvsH1": 0,
          "materialMedianGapAvsH1": 0.000003850095555988856,
          "aAheadOfH1": 39,
          "aBehindH1": 20,
          "tiedWithH1": 41,
          "bookSurvivalA": 1,
          "bookSurvivalH1": 1,
          "bookSurvivalH2": 0.18
        },
        {
          "shock": "crash",
          "books": 3,
          "nPairs": 100,
          "medianGapAvsH2": 0.01689271386995239,
          "medianGapAvsH1": 0.000012708537506019017,
          "materialMedianGapAvsH1": 0.000012708537506019017,
          "aAheadOfH1": 100,
          "aBehindH1": 0,
          "tiedWithH1": 0,
          "bookSurvivalA": 1,
          "bookSurvivalH1": 1,
          "bookSurvivalH2": 0.09666666666666666
        },
        {
          "shock": "wick-persist",
          "books": 1,
          "nPairs": 100,
          "medianGapAvsH2": 0.04233848399283713,
          "medianGapAvsH1": 0,
          "materialMedianGapAvsH1": 0.03963899075984406,
          "aAheadOfH1": 14,
          "aBehindH1": 6,
          "tiedWithH1": 80,
          "bookSurvivalA": 0.73,
          "bookSurvivalH1": 0.65,
          "bookSurvivalH2": 0
        },
        {
          "shock": "wick-persist",
          "books": 3,
          "nPairs": 100,
          "medianGapAvsH2": 0.02129848909258892,
          "medianGapAvsH1": 0.014211996672315284,
          "materialMedianGapAvsH1": 0.015196444893410594,
          "aAheadOfH1": 70,
          "aBehindH1": 1,
          "tiedWithH1": 29,
          "bookSurvivalA": 0.5233333333333333,
          "bookSurvivalH1": 0.20333333333333334,
          "bookSurvivalH2": 0
        },
        {
          "shock": "wick-1block",
          "books": 1,
          "nPairs": 100,
          "medianGapAvsH2": 0.530885648742448,
          "medianGapAvsH1": 0,
          "materialMedianGapAvsH1": 0.5303661466261467,
          "aAheadOfH1": 14,
          "aBehindH1": 10,
          "tiedWithH1": 76,
          "bookSurvivalA": 0.73,
          "bookSurvivalH1": 0.69,
          "bookSurvivalH2": 0.13
        },
        {
          "shock": "wick-1block",
          "books": 3,
          "nPairs": 100,
          "medianGapAvsH2": 0.18087523600446664,
          "medianGapAvsH1": 0.177947127524606,
          "materialMedianGapAvsH1": 0.17909226242169518,
          "aAheadOfH1": 61,
          "aBehindH1": 12,
          "tiedWithH1": 27,
          "bookSurvivalA": 0.5466666666666666,
          "bookSurvivalH1": 0.3233333333333333,
          "bookSurvivalH2": 0.12333333333333334
        }
      ],
      "caveat": "Books is a crossed factor with 8 cells per level, so this is a within-design contrast rather than a separate experiment; it is still EXPLORATORY — REPORT-PLAN §5 confirms C1 alone on this task, and no correction is applied to it. The equity MEDIANS on this axis are dominated by exact ties (arm A and arm H1 both survive every grind and crash path, so half the matrix contributes zeros); the book-survival rows and the material medians are the statistics that carry the effect."
    },
    "mixture": {
      "question": "MVP Finding 10: the pooled median names a cluster boundary rather than a typical path, and the fraction of paths on which protection BINDS is a headline quantity in its own right.",
      "nPairs": 800,
      "exactTies": 68,
      "exactTieFraction": 0.085,
      "negligibleUnder10Bps": 121,
      "material": 611,
      "materialFraction": 0.76375,
      "medianGapOnMaterialPaths": 0.020006791086875506,
      "reading": "The honest sentence is 'on the paths where protection binds, the median gap is X, and that is Y% of paths', not 'the agent is worth the pooled median'."
    },
    "survivalUncertainty": {
      "question": "For every survival proportion the report draws or prints, and every difference between two of them a sentence asserts, how much of it is resolvable at this sample size?",
      "metric": "book-level survival — the fraction of POSITIONS kept, books survived over books held",
      "whyBookLevel": "A portfolio survives only when every book does, so portfolio survival is a 3-of-3 event at three books and a 1-of-1 at one: arm A's is 86.5% at 1 book and 56.8% at 3, while its BOOK survival over the same two levels moves only 86.5% to 76.8%. The difference between those two falls is the Books axis and not anything an arm did. Book survival divides the axis out of numerator and denominator together, which is why §4 calls it the only survival figure comparable across the design. Portfolio survival is published beside it per arm and per book level; it is never pooled into a figure.",
      "rateMethod": "Wilson score interval at 95%, twice. Once over the raw book count, and once over the effective sample size n / DEFF, where DEFF = 1 + (mean cluster size - 1) * rho and rho is Donner's ANOVA intra-cluster correlation over PATHS — because a three-book portfolio's three books are replayed against one price path and are not three independent draws. Wilson rather than Wald because several of these rates sit at or beside 0 and 1, where Wald either leaves [0, 1] or collapses to a point of zero width.",
      "contrastMethod": "Cluster percentile bootstrap over whole paths, 10,000 resamples. A path carries both arms' outcomes and all of its books, so resampling paths keeps the pairing the design paid for and the clustering the book count creates. Contrasts between two disjoint path sets — the two clocks, the two book levels — resample each set independently and difference inside the loop.",
      "standing": "EXPLORATORY AND UNCORRECTED. No Holm, no multiplicity adjustment of any kind, over 185 rates and 55 contrasts. A handful would exclude zero at 95% by arithmetic alone. Read the large ones; do not count the significant ones.",
      "monteCarlo": "Every interval here is Monte Carlo sampling uncertainty — how far a re-run with fresh seeds would be expected to move the number. None of it is a confidence statement about real positions on BNB Chain, and nothing on this axis is a measurement of a human.",
      "scaleDeclaration": "The rate itself is `armSummary.bookSurvivalRate` in booksScale.declarations — scale-free, because the denominator grows with the axis exactly as the numerator does. An interval around a declared quantity, in that quantity's own unit, inherits its declaration, exactly as C1's bootstrapCi sits inside the declaration on C1's median. Rows marked within-level hold one book level and the builder throws if one does not; the two between-level contrasts are a deliberate comparison ACROSS the axis, which is the sanctioned way to talk about it rather than a pooling of it.",
      "level": 0.95,
      "iters": 10000,
      "seedBase": 92000,
      "nRates": 185,
      "nContrasts": 55,
      "nContrastsSpanningZero": 9,
      "insideNoise": [
        {
          "id": "clock/A",
          "what": "arm A: book survival at 01:00 minus book survival at 09:30",
          "pointPp": 1.374999999999993,
          "loPp": -3.3699741643300904,
          "hiPp": 6.068479805058754
        },
        {
          "id": "clock/H1",
          "what": "arm H1: book survival at 01:00 minus book survival at 09:30",
          "pointPp": 1.2499999999999956,
          "loPp": -4.718539129361424,
          "hiPp": 7.327175245179463
        },
        {
          "id": "clock/P",
          "what": "arm P: book survival at 01:00 minus book survival at 09:30",
          "pointPp": 0,
          "loPp": -1.7493054029413395,
          "hiPp": 1.7772859161592973
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/books1",
          "what": "the agent's book-survival advantage over H1 at 1 book",
          "pointPp": 3,
          "loPp": -0.25,
          "hiPp": 6.25
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/wick-persist/books1",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over the attentive human on wick-persist at 1 book",
          "pointPp": 8,
          "loPp": -1,
          "hiPp": 17
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/wick-1block/books1",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over the attentive human on wick-1block at 1 book",
          "pointPp": 4,
          "loPp": -5,
          "hiPp": 14.000000000000002
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/wick-persist-work-b1",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H1 in wick-persist-work-b1",
          "pointPp": 2,
          "loPp": -10,
          "hiPp": 14.000000000000002
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/wick-1block-work-b1",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H1 in wick-1block-work-b1",
          "pointPp": -2,
          "loPp": -16,
          "hiPp": 12
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/wick-1block-night-b1",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H1 in wick-1block-night-b1",
          "pointPp": 10,
          "loPp": -2,
          "hiPp": 22
        }
      ],
      "rates": [
        {
          "scope": "study",
          "cellId": null,
          "shock": "all",
          "clock": "all",
          "books": null,
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "arm": "A",
          "booksSurvived": 1267,
          "nBooks": 1600,
          "nPaths": 800,
          "rate": 0.791875,
          "ci": {
            "successes": 1267,
            "n": 1600,
            "p": 0.791875,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "lo": 0.7712954493775677,
            "hi": 0.8110563752764546,
            "nClusters": 800,
            "meanClusterSize": 2,
            "icc": 0.196689698358368,
            "iccIdentified": true,
            "designEffect": 1.196689698358368,
            "nEffective": 1337.0216207216438,
            "loClustered": 0.7692933903963189,
            "hiClustered": 0.8127842154414479,
            "method": "Wilson score, with a design-effect adjustment for clustering by path"
          }
        },
        {
          "scope": "clock",
          "cellId": null,
          "shock": "all",
          "clock": "work",
          "books": null,
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "arm": "A",
          "booksSurvived": 628,
          "nBooks": 800,
          "nPaths": 400,
          "rate": 0.785,
          "ci": {
            "successes": 628,
            "n": 800,
            "p": 0.785,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "lo": 0.7552054716730199,
            "hi": 0.8120705688897449,
            "nClusters": 400,
            "meanClusterSize": 2,
            "icc": 0.2112940711071557,
            "iccIdentified": true,
            "designEffect": 1.2112940711071558,
            "nEffective": 660.450685826257,
            "loClustered": 0.7520676322769932,
            "hiClustered": 0.8146361801262691,
            "method": "Wilson score, with a design-effect adjustment for clustering by path"
          }
        },
        {
          "scope": "clock-shock",
          "cellId": null,
          "shock": "grind",
          "clock": "work",
          "books": null,
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "arm": "A",
          "booksSurvived": 200,
          "nBooks": 200,
          "nPaths": 100,
          "rate": 1,
          "ci": {
            "successes": 200,
            "n": 200,
            "p": 1,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "lo": 0.9811546736227335,
            "hi": 1,
            "nClusters": 100,
            "meanClusterSize": 2,
            "icc": 0,
            "iccIdentified": false,
            "designEffect": 1,
            "nEffective": 200,
            "loClustered": 0.9811546736227335,
            "hiClustered": 1,
            "method": "Wilson score, with a design-effect adjustment for clustering by path"
          }
        },
        {
          "scope": "clock-shock",
          "cellId": null,
          "shock": "crash",
          "clock": "work",
          "books": null,
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "arm": "A",
          "booksSurvived": 200,
          "nBooks": 200,
          "nPaths": 100,
          "rate": 1,
          "ci": {
            "successes": 200,
            "n": 200,
            "p": 1,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "lo": 0.9811546736227335,
            "hi": 1,
            "nClusters": 100,
            "meanClusterSize": 2,
            "icc": 0,
            "iccIdentified": false,
            "designEffect": 1,
            "nEffective": 200,
            "loClustered": 0.9811546736227335,
            "hiClustered": 1,
            "method": "Wilson score, with a design-effect adjustment for clustering by path"
          }
        },
        {
          "scope": "clock-shock",
          "cellId": null,
          "shock": "wick-persist",
          "clock": "work",
          "books": null,
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "arm": "A",
          "booksSurvived": 114,
          "nBooks": 200,
          "nPaths": 100,
          "rate": 0.57,
          "ci": {
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          "pointPp": -23.5,
          "loPp": -28.261624108712436,
          "hiPp": -18.838423679578092,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (-28.26 to -18.84 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": -0.23500000000000001,
            "lo": -0.28261624108712435,
            "hi": -0.18838423679578092,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92002,
            "nClusters": 800,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "clock/H3",
          "what": "arm H3: book survival at 01:00 minus book survival at 09:30",
          "kind": "between-clocks",
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "pointPp": -22.874999999999996,
          "loPp": -27.92804049981738,
          "hiPp": -17.91014204527219,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (-27.93 to -17.91 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": -0.22874999999999998,
            "lo": -0.2792804049981738,
            "hi": -0.17910142045272187,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92003,
            "nClusters": 800,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "clock/P",
          "what": "arm P: book survival at 01:00 minus book survival at 09:30",
          "kind": "between-clocks",
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "pointPp": 0,
          "loPp": -1.7493054029413395,
          "hiPp": 1.7772859161592973,
          "spansZero": true,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "NOT distinguishable from zero: the 95% interval runs -1.75 to 1.78 positions per hundred and covers no difference. The report may name the direction; it may not call it a difference.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0,
            "lo": -0.017493054029413396,
            "hi": 0.017772859161592974,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92004,
            "nClusters": 800,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": true,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1",
          "what": "the agent's book-survival advantage over H1, pooled over all paths",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "pointPp": 10.9375,
          "loPp": 9.068900977403075,
          "hiPp": 12.846347607052897,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (9.07 to 12.85 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.109375,
            "lo": 0.09068900977403074,
            "hi": 0.12846347607052896,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92005,
            "nClusters": 800,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H2",
          "what": "the agent's book-survival advantage over H2, pooled over all paths",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "pointPp": 63.4375,
          "loPp": 60.38547937520037,
          "hiPp": 66.42430390290338,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (60.39 to 66.42 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.634375,
            "lo": 0.6038547937520037,
            "hi": 0.6642430390290337,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92006,
            "nClusters": 800,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H3",
          "what": "the agent's book-survival advantage over H3, pooled over all paths",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "pointPp": 62.125,
          "loPp": 59.007324397150164,
          "hiPp": 65.12915129151291,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (59.01 to 65.13 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.62125,
            "lo": 0.5900732439715016,
            "hi": 0.6512915129151291,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92007,
            "nClusters": 800,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-P",
          "what": "the agent's book-survival advantage over P, pooled over all paths",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "pointPp": 76.0625,
          "loPp": 73.43373116526254,
          "hiPp": 78.65170308210455,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (73.43 to 78.65 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.760625,
            "lo": 0.7343373116526255,
            "hi": 0.7865170308210455,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92008,
            "nClusters": 800,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/books1",
          "what": "the agent's book-survival advantage over H1 at 1 book",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 3,
          "loPp": -0.25,
          "hiPp": 6.25,
          "spansZero": true,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "NOT distinguishable from zero: the 95% interval runs -0.25 to 6.25 positions per hundred and covers no difference. The report may name the direction; it may not call it a difference.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.03,
            "lo": -0.0025,
            "hi": 0.0625,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92009,
            "nClusters": 400,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": true,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/books3",
          "what": "the agent's book-survival advantage over H1 at 3 books",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 13.583333333333334,
          "loPp": 11.416666666666666,
          "hiPp": 15.833333333333332,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (11.42 to 15.83 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.13583333333333333,
            "lo": 0.11416666666666667,
            "hi": 0.15833333333333333,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92010,
            "nClusters": 400,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "widening/A-vs-H1",
          "what": "how much the agent's advantage over H1 changes between one book and three",
          "kind": "between-book-levels",
          "scale": "between-level",
          "pointPp": 10.583333333333334,
          "loPp": 6.666666666666667,
          "hiPp": 14.499999999999998,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (6.67 to 14.50 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.10583333333333333,
            "lo": 0.06666666666666667,
            "hi": 0.145,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92011,
            "nClusters": 800,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H2/books1",
          "what": "the agent's book-survival advantage over H2 at 1 book",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 68.5,
          "loPp": 64,
          "hiPp": 73,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (64.00 to 73.00 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.685,
            "lo": 0.64,
            "hi": 0.73,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92012,
            "nClusters": 400,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H2/books3",
          "what": "the agent's book-survival advantage over H2 at 3 books",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 61.75000000000001,
          "loPp": 58.08333333333333,
          "hiPp": 65.5,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (58.08 to 65.50 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.6175,
            "lo": 0.5808333333333333,
            "hi": 0.655,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92013,
            "nClusters": 400,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "widening/A-vs-H2",
          "what": "how much the agent's advantage over H2 changes between one book and three",
          "kind": "between-book-levels",
          "scale": "between-level",
          "pointPp": -6.75,
          "loPp": -12.583333333333325,
          "hiPp": -1.0000000000000009,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (-12.58 to -1.00 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": -0.0675,
            "lo": -0.12583333333333324,
            "hi": -0.010000000000000009,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92014,
            "nClusters": 800,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/grind/books1",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over the attentive human on grind at 1 book",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 0,
          "loPp": 0,
          "hiPp": 0,
          "spansZero": true,
          "degenerate": true,
          "reading": "the difference is the SAME on every path in the cut, so there is no sampling variation to interval. This is an identity rather than a null: it is a stronger statement than an interval that happens to contain zero, and it must not be reported as no evidence of a difference.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0,
            "lo": 0,
            "hi": 0,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92015,
            "nClusters": 100,
            "degenerate": true,
            "spansZero": true,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/grind/books3",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over the attentive human on grind at 3 books",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 0,
          "loPp": 0,
          "hiPp": 0,
          "spansZero": true,
          "degenerate": true,
          "reading": "the difference is the SAME on every path in the cut, so there is no sampling variation to interval. This is an identity rather than a null: it is a stronger statement than an interval that happens to contain zero, and it must not be reported as no evidence of a difference.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0,
            "lo": 0,
            "hi": 0,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92016,
            "nClusters": 100,
            "degenerate": true,
            "spansZero": true,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/crash/books1",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over the attentive human on crash at 1 book",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 0,
          "loPp": 0,
          "hiPp": 0,
          "spansZero": true,
          "degenerate": true,
          "reading": "the difference is the SAME on every path in the cut, so there is no sampling variation to interval. This is an identity rather than a null: it is a stronger statement than an interval that happens to contain zero, and it must not be reported as no evidence of a difference.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0,
            "lo": 0,
            "hi": 0,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92017,
            "nClusters": 100,
            "degenerate": true,
            "spansZero": true,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/crash/books3",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over the attentive human on crash at 3 books",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 0,
          "loPp": 0,
          "hiPp": 0,
          "spansZero": true,
          "degenerate": true,
          "reading": "the difference is the SAME on every path in the cut, so there is no sampling variation to interval. This is an identity rather than a null: it is a stronger statement than an interval that happens to contain zero, and it must not be reported as no evidence of a difference.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0,
            "lo": 0,
            "hi": 0,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92018,
            "nClusters": 100,
            "degenerate": true,
            "spansZero": true,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/wick-persist/books1",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over the attentive human on wick-persist at 1 book",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 8,
          "loPp": -1,
          "hiPp": 17,
          "spansZero": true,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "NOT distinguishable from zero: the 95% interval runs -1.00 to 17.00 positions per hundred and covers no difference. The report may name the direction; it may not call it a difference.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.08,
            "lo": -0.01,
            "hi": 0.17,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92019,
            "nClusters": 100,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": true,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/wick-persist/books3",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over the attentive human on wick-persist at 3 books",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 32,
          "loPp": 27,
          "hiPp": 37.333333333333336,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (27.00 to 37.33 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.32,
            "lo": 0.27,
            "hi": 0.37333333333333335,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92020,
            "nClusters": 100,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/wick-1block/books1",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over the attentive human on wick-1block at 1 book",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 4,
          "loPp": -5,
          "hiPp": 14.000000000000002,
          "spansZero": true,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "NOT distinguishable from zero: the 95% interval runs -5.00 to 14.00 positions per hundred and covers no difference. The report may name the direction; it may not call it a difference.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.04,
            "lo": -0.05,
            "hi": 0.14,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92021,
            "nClusters": 100,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": true,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/wick-1block/books3",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over the attentive human on wick-1block at 3 books",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 22.333333333333332,
          "loPp": 18,
          "hiPp": 27,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (18.00 to 27.00 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.22333333333333333,
            "lo": 0.18,
            "hi": 0.27,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92022,
            "nClusters": 100,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/grind-work-b1",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H1 in grind-work-b1",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 0,
          "loPp": 0,
          "hiPp": 0,
          "spansZero": true,
          "degenerate": true,
          "reading": "the difference is the SAME on every path in the cut, so there is no sampling variation to interval. This is an identity rather than a null: it is a stronger statement than an interval that happens to contain zero, and it must not be reported as no evidence of a difference.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0,
            "lo": 0,
            "hi": 0,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92023,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": true,
            "spansZero": true,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H2/grind-work-b1",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H2 in grind-work-b1",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 26,
          "loPp": 14.000000000000002,
          "hiPp": 38,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (14.00 to 38.00 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.26,
            "lo": 0.14,
            "hi": 0.38,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92024,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/grind-work-b3",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H1 in grind-work-b3",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 0,
          "loPp": 0,
          "hiPp": 0,
          "spansZero": true,
          "degenerate": true,
          "reading": "the difference is the SAME on every path in the cut, so there is no sampling variation to interval. This is an identity rather than a null: it is a stronger statement than an interval that happens to contain zero, and it must not be reported as no evidence of a difference.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0,
            "lo": 0,
            "hi": 0,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92025,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": true,
            "spansZero": true,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H2/grind-work-b3",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H2 in grind-work-b3",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 26,
          "loPp": 14.000000000000002,
          "hiPp": 38,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (14.00 to 38.00 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.26,
            "lo": 0.14,
            "hi": 0.38,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92026,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/grind-night-b1",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H1 in grind-night-b1",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 0,
          "loPp": 0,
          "hiPp": 0,
          "spansZero": true,
          "degenerate": true,
          "reading": "the difference is the SAME on every path in the cut, so there is no sampling variation to interval. This is an identity rather than a null: it is a stronger statement than an interval that happens to contain zero, and it must not be reported as no evidence of a difference.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0,
            "lo": 0,
            "hi": 0,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92027,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": true,
            "spansZero": true,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H2/grind-night-b1",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H2 in grind-night-b1",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 92,
          "loPp": 84,
          "hiPp": 98,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (84.00 to 98.00 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.92,
            "lo": 0.84,
            "hi": 0.98,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92028,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/grind-night-b3",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H1 in grind-night-b3",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 0,
          "loPp": 0,
          "hiPp": 0,
          "spansZero": true,
          "degenerate": true,
          "reading": "the difference is the SAME on every path in the cut, so there is no sampling variation to interval. This is an identity rather than a null: it is a stronger statement than an interval that happens to contain zero, and it must not be reported as no evidence of a difference.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0,
            "lo": 0,
            "hi": 0,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92029,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": true,
            "spansZero": true,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H2/grind-night-b3",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H2 in grind-night-b3",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 98,
          "loPp": 94,
          "hiPp": 100,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (94.00 to 100.00 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.98,
            "lo": 0.94,
            "hi": 1,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92030,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/crash-work-b1",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H1 in crash-work-b1",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 0,
          "loPp": 0,
          "hiPp": 0,
          "spansZero": true,
          "degenerate": true,
          "reading": "the difference is the SAME on every path in the cut, so there is no sampling variation to interval. This is an identity rather than a null: it is a stronger statement than an interval that happens to contain zero, and it must not be reported as no evidence of a difference.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0,
            "lo": 0,
            "hi": 0,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92031,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": true,
            "spansZero": true,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H2/crash-work-b1",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H2 in crash-work-b1",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 64,
          "loPp": 50,
          "hiPp": 76,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (50.00 to 76.00 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.64,
            "lo": 0.5,
            "hi": 0.76,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92032,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/crash-work-b3",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H1 in crash-work-b3",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 0,
          "loPp": 0,
          "hiPp": 0,
          "spansZero": true,
          "degenerate": true,
          "reading": "the difference is the SAME on every path in the cut, so there is no sampling variation to interval. This is an identity rather than a null: it is a stronger statement than an interval that happens to contain zero, and it must not be reported as no evidence of a difference.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0,
            "lo": 0,
            "hi": 0,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92033,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": true,
            "spansZero": true,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H2/crash-work-b3",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H2 in crash-work-b3",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 80.66666666666666,
          "loPp": 71.33333333333334,
          "hiPp": 89.33333333333333,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (71.33 to 89.33 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.8066666666666666,
            "lo": 0.7133333333333334,
            "hi": 0.8933333333333333,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92034,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/crash-night-b1",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H1 in crash-night-b1",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 0,
          "loPp": 0,
          "hiPp": 0,
          "spansZero": true,
          "degenerate": true,
          "reading": "the difference is the SAME on every path in the cut, so there is no sampling variation to interval. This is an identity rather than a null: it is a stronger statement than an interval that happens to contain zero, and it must not be reported as no evidence of a difference.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0,
            "lo": 0,
            "hi": 0,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92035,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": true,
            "spansZero": true,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H2/crash-night-b1",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H2 in crash-night-b1",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 100,
          "loPp": 100,
          "hiPp": 100,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": true,
          "reading": "the difference is the SAME on every path in the cut, so there is no sampling variation to interval. This is an identity rather than a null: it is a stronger statement than an interval that happens to contain zero, and it must not be reported as no evidence of a difference.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 1,
            "lo": 1,
            "hi": 1,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92036,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": true,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/crash-night-b3",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H1 in crash-night-b3",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 0,
          "loPp": 0,
          "hiPp": 0,
          "spansZero": true,
          "degenerate": true,
          "reading": "the difference is the SAME on every path in the cut, so there is no sampling variation to interval. This is an identity rather than a null: it is a stronger statement than an interval that happens to contain zero, and it must not be reported as no evidence of a difference.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0,
            "lo": 0,
            "hi": 0,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92037,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": true,
            "spansZero": true,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H2/crash-night-b3",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H2 in crash-night-b3",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 100,
          "loPp": 100,
          "hiPp": 100,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": true,
          "reading": "the difference is the SAME on every path in the cut, so there is no sampling variation to interval. This is an identity rather than a null: it is a stronger statement than an interval that happens to contain zero, and it must not be reported as no evidence of a difference.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 1,
            "lo": 1,
            "hi": 1,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92038,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": true,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/wick-persist-work-b1",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H1 in wick-persist-work-b1",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 2,
          "loPp": -10,
          "hiPp": 14.000000000000002,
          "spansZero": true,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "NOT distinguishable from zero: the 95% interval runs -10.00 to 14.00 positions per hundred and covers no difference. The report may name the direction; it may not call it a difference.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.02,
            "lo": -0.1,
            "hi": 0.14,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92039,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": true,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H2/wick-persist-work-b1",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H2 in wick-persist-work-b1",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 66,
          "loPp": 52,
          "hiPp": 78,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (52.00 to 78.00 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.66,
            "lo": 0.52,
            "hi": 0.78,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92040,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/wick-persist-work-b3",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H1 in wick-persist-work-b3",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 34,
          "loPp": 26.666666666666668,
          "hiPp": 42,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (26.67 to 42.00 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.34,
            "lo": 0.26666666666666666,
            "hi": 0.42,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92041,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H2/wick-persist-work-b3",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H2 in wick-persist-work-b3",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 54,
          "loPp": 46.666666666666664,
          "hiPp": 61.33333333333333,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (46.67 to 61.33 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.54,
            "lo": 0.4666666666666667,
            "hi": 0.6133333333333333,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92042,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/wick-persist-night-b1",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H1 in wick-persist-night-b1",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 14.000000000000002,
          "loPp": 2,
          "hiPp": 26,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (2.00 to 26.00 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.14,
            "lo": 0.02,
            "hi": 0.26,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92043,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H2/wick-persist-night-b1",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H2 in wick-persist-night-b1",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 80,
          "loPp": 68,
          "hiPp": 90,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (68.00 to 90.00 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.8,
            "lo": 0.68,
            "hi": 0.9,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92044,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/wick-persist-night-b3",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H1 in wick-persist-night-b3",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 30,
          "loPp": 22.666666666666664,
          "hiPp": 37.333333333333336,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (22.67 to 37.33 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.3,
            "lo": 0.22666666666666666,
            "hi": 0.37333333333333335,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92045,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H2/wick-persist-night-b3",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H2 in wick-persist-night-b3",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 50.66666666666667,
          "loPp": 42.66666666666667,
          "hiPp": 57.99999999999999,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (42.67 to 58.00 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.5066666666666667,
            "lo": 0.4266666666666667,
            "hi": 0.58,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92046,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/wick-1block-work-b1",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H1 in wick-1block-work-b1",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": -2,
          "loPp": -16,
          "hiPp": 12,
          "spansZero": true,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "NOT distinguishable from zero: the 95% interval runs -16.00 to 12.00 positions per hundred and covers no difference. The report may name the direction; it may not call it a difference.",
          "ci": {
            "point": -0.02,
            "lo": -0.16,
            "hi": 0.12,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92047,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": true,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H2/wick-1block-work-b1",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H2 in wick-1block-work-b1",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 57.99999999999999,
          "loPp": 44,
          "hiPp": 72,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (44.00 to 72.00 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.58,
            "lo": 0.44,
            "hi": 0.72,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92048,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/wick-1block-work-b3",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H1 in wick-1block-work-b3",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 24,
          "loPp": 16.666666666666664,
          "hiPp": 31.333333333333336,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (16.67 to 31.33 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.24,
            "lo": 0.16666666666666666,
            "hi": 0.31333333333333335,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92049,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H2/wick-1block-work-b3",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H2 in wick-1block-work-b3",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 40,
          "loPp": 32.666666666666664,
          "hiPp": 48,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (32.67 to 48.00 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.4,
            "lo": 0.32666666666666666,
            "hi": 0.48,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92050,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/wick-1block-night-b1",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H1 in wick-1block-night-b1",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 10,
          "loPp": -2,
          "hiPp": 22,
          "spansZero": true,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "NOT distinguishable from zero: the 95% interval runs -2.00 to 22.00 positions per hundred and covers no difference. The report may name the direction; it may not call it a difference.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.1,
            "lo": -0.02,
            "hi": 0.22,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92051,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": true,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H2/wick-1block-night-b1",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H2 in wick-1block-night-b1",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 62,
          "loPp": 48,
          "hiPp": 76,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (48.00 to 76.00 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.62,
            "lo": 0.48,
            "hi": 0.76,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92052,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H1/wick-1block-night-b3",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H1 in wick-1block-night-b3",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 20.666666666666668,
          "loPp": 14.666666666666666,
          "hiPp": 26,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (14.67 to 26.00 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.20666666666666667,
            "lo": 0.14666666666666667,
            "hi": 0.26,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92053,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        },
        {
          "id": "advantage/A-vs-H2/wick-1block-night-b3",
          "what": "the agent's advantage over H2 in wick-1block-night-b3",
          "kind": "paired-arms",
          "scale": "within-level",
          "pointPp": 44.666666666666664,
          "loPp": 38,
          "hiPp": 51.33333333333333,
          "spansZero": false,
          "degenerate": false,
          "reading": "the 95% interval excludes zero (38.00 to 51.33 positions per hundred). Exploratory and uncorrected.",
          "ci": {
            "point": 0.44666666666666666,
            "lo": 0.38,
            "hi": 0.5133333333333333,
            "alpha": 0.05,
            "iters": 10000,
            "seed": 92054,
            "nClusters": 50,
            "degenerate": false,
            "spansZero": false,
            "method": "cluster percentile bootstrap, resampling whole paths"
          }
        }
      ]
    }
  },
  "preRegistered": {
    "survival": [
      {
        "cellId": "grind-work-b1",
        "arm": "A",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 1,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 1,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 1,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "grind-work-b1",
        "arm": "H1",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 1,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 1,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 1,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "grind-work-b1",
        "arm": "H2",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.75,
        "plannedValue": 0.88,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.74,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.8706323909886337,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "The availability ceiling is ON_SCREEN 0.25 + ON_PHONE 0.50 = 0.75 and an OFF draw at the 09:30 start is blocked until 18:00 CST = 30,600 s, past the 26,667 s at which HF < 1, so OFF contributes nothing. The second factor — acting inside the 11,429 s (3.17 h) of slack the grind allows — is E_{a~U(60,180)}[Phi(ln((11429 - a - 3)/480)/0.8)] = 0.999961. Product 0.74998. §6.7's 0.88 exceeds the ceiling and is not reachable under §3.1's own table."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "grind-work-b1",
        "arm": "H3",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.75,
        "plannedValue": 0.88,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.78,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.7445819001570572,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "H3 equals H2 wherever the 23:00-07:00 off window does not overlap the path. A 09:30 start running 9 h ends at 18:30 CST, so it does not."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "grind-work-b1",
        "arm": "P",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 1,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "grind-work-b3",
        "arm": "A",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.99,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 1,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.4119699252227765,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "grind-work-b3",
        "arm": "H1",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.99,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 1,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.4119699252227765,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "grind-work-b3",
        "arm": "H2",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.7,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.74,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.32702596982398624,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "grind-work-b3",
        "arm": "H3",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.7,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.78,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.03246313474843398,
        "falsifiedAt05": true,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "grind-work-b3",
        "arm": "P",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 1,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "grind-night-b1",
        "arm": "A",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 1,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 1,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 1,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "grind-night-b1",
        "arm": "H1",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 1,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 1,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 1,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "grind-night-b1",
        "arm": "H2",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.14,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.08,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.306489474413899,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "grind-night-b1",
        "arm": "H3",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.02,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.1,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.0032097420260793845,
        "falsifiedAt05": true,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "grind-night-b1",
        "arm": "P",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 1,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "grind-night-b3",
        "arm": "A",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.99,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 1,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.4119699252227765,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "grind-night-b3",
        "arm": "H1",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.99,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 1,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.4119699252227765,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "grind-night-b3",
        "arm": "H2",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.08,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.02,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.003668165365440666,
        "falsifiedAt05": true,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "grind-night-b3",
        "arm": "H3",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.01,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.1,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 4.568365074331248e-11,
        "falsifiedAt05": true,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "grind-night-b3",
        "arm": "P",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 1,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-work-b1",
        "arm": "A",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.98,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 1,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.6283982856253942,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-work-b1",
        "arm": "H1",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.96,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 1,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.2690165844896847,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-work-b1",
        "arm": "H2",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.28,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.36,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.20985394294172283,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-work-b1",
        "arm": "H3",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.28,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.36,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.20985394294172283,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-work-b1",
        "arm": "P",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 1,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-work-b3",
        "arm": "A",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.96,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 1,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.005125886323024518,
        "falsifiedAt05": true,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-work-b3",
        "arm": "H1",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.55,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 1,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 1.2531142105607752e-39,
        "falsifiedAt05": true,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-work-b3",
        "arm": "H2",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.12,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.19333333333333333,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.011186342860513333,
        "falsifiedAt05": true,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-work-b3",
        "arm": "H3",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.12,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.19333333333333333,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.011186342860513333,
        "falsifiedAt05": true,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-work-b3",
        "arm": "P",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 1,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-night-b1",
        "arm": "A",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.98,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 1,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.6283982856253942,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-night-b1",
        "arm": "H1",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.96,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 1,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.2690165844896847,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-night-b1",
        "arm": "H2",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.04,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.26901658448968463,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-night-b1",
        "arm": "H3",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.01,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 1,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-night-b1",
        "arm": "P",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 1,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-night-b3",
        "arm": "A",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.96,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 1,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.005125886323024518,
        "falsifiedAt05": true,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-night-b3",
        "arm": "H1",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.55,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 1,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 1.2531142105607752e-39,
        "falsifiedAt05": true,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-night-b3",
        "arm": "H2",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.02,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.08028657640630588,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-night-b3",
        "arm": "H3",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 1,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-night-b3",
        "arm": "P",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 1,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-work-b1",
        "arm": "A",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.708,
        "plannedValue": 0.94,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.66,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.4405310954603482,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "E_{T~U(9+3k,15+3k)}[1 - Phi(ln(T/15)/0.4)] for book k, where T is the 6 s measured floor + U(0,6) s jitter + a 3 s block + one block of round-robin per extra book: book 0 = 0.7077, book 1 = 0.5062, book 2 = 0.3330; book-level mean 0.5157. The single-book figure is the MVP's re-derived 0.708 unchanged."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-work-b1",
        "arm": "H1",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.639,
        "plannedValue": 0.72,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.64,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.9999999999999912,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "H1's total delay is REPORT-PLAN §3's U(5,15) s plus a 3 s block plus 45 s per extra book, sequential: book 0 ~ U(8,18) s, book 1 ~ U(53,63) s, book 2 ~ U(98,108) s. E[1 - Phi(ln(T/15)/0.4)] over each: 0.6392, 0.000401, 0.0000012; book-level mean 0.2132. This is §6.7's own 'sequential hands cannot save three books in one wick', computed."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-work-b1",
        "arm": "H2",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.22,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.000007335744293201015,
        "falsifiedAt05": true,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-work-b1",
        "arm": "H3",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.22,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.000007335744293201015,
        "falsifiedAt05": true,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-work-b1",
        "arm": "P",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 1,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-work-b3",
        "arm": "A",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.516,
        "plannedValue": 0.9,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.54,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.5684596457191516,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "E_{T~U(9+3k,15+3k)}[1 - Phi(ln(T/15)/0.4)] for book k, where T is the 6 s measured floor + U(0,6) s jitter + a 3 s block + one block of round-robin per extra book: book 0 = 0.7077, book 1 = 0.5062, book 2 = 0.3330; book-level mean 0.5157. The single-book figure is the MVP's re-derived 0.708 unchanged."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-work-b3",
        "arm": "H1",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.213,
        "plannedValue": 0.3,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.2,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.7651934688871493,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "H1's total delay is REPORT-PLAN §3's U(5,15) s plus a 3 s block plus 45 s per extra book, sequential: book 0 ~ U(8,18) s, book 1 ~ U(53,63) s, book 2 ~ U(98,108) s. E[1 - Phi(ln(T/15)/0.4)] over each: 0.6392, 0.000401, 0.0000012; book-level mean 0.2132. This is §6.7's own 'sequential hands cannot save three books in one wick', computed."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-work-b3",
        "arm": "H2",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.08,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.000006386768781340254,
        "falsifiedAt05": true,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-work-b3",
        "arm": "H3",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.08,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.000006386768781340254,
        "falsifiedAt05": true,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-work-b3",
        "arm": "P",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 1,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-night-b1",
        "arm": "A",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.708,
        "plannedValue": 0.94,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.8,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.16477576831505977,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "E_{T~U(9+3k,15+3k)}[1 - Phi(ln(T/15)/0.4)] for book k, where T is the 6 s measured floor + U(0,6) s jitter + a 3 s block + one block of round-robin per extra book: book 0 = 0.7077, book 1 = 0.5062, book 2 = 0.3330; book-level mean 0.5157. The single-book figure is the MVP's re-derived 0.708 unchanged."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-night-b1",
        "arm": "H1",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.639,
        "plannedValue": 0.72,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.66,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.8831256521648394,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "H1's total delay is REPORT-PLAN §3's U(5,15) s plus a 3 s block plus 45 s per extra book, sequential: book 0 ~ U(8,18) s, book 1 ~ U(53,63) s, book 2 ~ U(98,108) s. E[1 - Phi(ln(T/15)/0.4)] over each: 0.6392, 0.000401, 0.0000012; book-level mean 0.2132. This is §6.7's own 'sequential hands cannot save three books in one wick', computed."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-night-b1",
        "arm": "H2",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.03,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.40726729997768313,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-night-b1",
        "arm": "H3",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 1,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-night-b1",
        "arm": "P",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 1,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-night-b3",
        "arm": "A",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.516,
        "plannedValue": 0.9,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.5066666666666667,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.8702989124975797,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "E_{T~U(9+3k,15+3k)}[1 - Phi(ln(T/15)/0.4)] for book k, where T is the 6 s measured floor + U(0,6) s jitter + a 3 s block + one block of round-robin per extra book: book 0 = 0.7077, book 1 = 0.5062, book 2 = 0.3330; book-level mean 0.5157. The single-book figure is the MVP's re-derived 0.708 unchanged."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-night-b3",
        "arm": "H1",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.213,
        "plannedValue": 0.3,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.20666666666666667,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.920709391188596,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "H1's total delay is REPORT-PLAN §3's U(5,15) s plus a 3 s block plus 45 s per extra book, sequential: book 0 ~ U(8,18) s, book 1 ~ U(53,63) s, book 2 ~ U(98,108) s. E[1 - Phi(ln(T/15)/0.4)] over each: 0.6392, 0.000401, 0.0000012; book-level mean 0.2132. This is §6.7's own 'sequential hands cannot save three books in one wick', computed."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-night-b3",
        "arm": "H2",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0.01,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.4119699252227752,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-night-b3",
        "arm": "H3",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 1,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-night-b3",
        "arm": "P",
        "kind": "planned",
        "target": 0,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 1,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": null
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-work-b1",
        "arm": "A",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.708,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.7,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.8773440647257721,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "E_{T~U(9+3k,15+3k)}[1 - Phi(ln(T/15)/0.4)] for book k, where T is the 6 s measured floor + U(0,6) s jitter + a 3 s block + one block of round-robin per extra book: book 0 = 0.7077, book 1 = 0.5062, book 2 = 0.3330; book-level mean 0.5157. The single-book figure is the MVP's re-derived 0.708 unchanged. The 24 s trough outlasts every draw, so the race is the same one wick-persist runs."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-work-b1",
        "arm": "H1",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.639,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.72,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.3024282137866528,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "H1's total delay is REPORT-PLAN §3's U(5,15) s plus a 3 s block plus 45 s per extra book, sequential: book 0 ~ U(8,18) s, book 1 ~ U(53,63) s, book 2 ~ U(98,108) s. E[1 - Phi(ln(T/15)/0.4)] over each: 0.6392, 0.000401, 0.0000012; book-level mean 0.2132. This is §6.7's own 'sequential hands cannot save three books in one wick', computed. Book 0's U(8,18) s all lands inside the 24 s trough."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-work-b1",
        "arm": "H2",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.12,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.12,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.9999999999999974,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "H2's fastest possible response is ON_SCREEN notice 5 s + action 30 s + a 3 s block = 38 s after the 3 s trough print, and the market has recovered by 27 s. H2 is therefore PASSIVE on this shock and inherits passive's target, P(d >= 24) = 1 - Phi(ln(24/15)/0.4) = 0.120."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-work-b1",
        "arm": "H3",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.12,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.12,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.9999999999999974,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "Same as H2: no human model in this study can act inside a 24 s trough, so H3 is passive here and inherits passive's P(d >= 24) = 1 - Phi(ln(24/15)/0.4) = 0.120."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-work-b1",
        "arm": "P",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.12,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.12,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.9999999999999974,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "Passive is seized iff the liquidator fires while the price is still in the trough, i.e. before the 27 s recovery print, having armed at the 3 s print: survival is P(d >= 24) = 1 - Phi(ln(24/15)/0.4) = 0.120."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-work-b3",
        "arm": "A",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.516,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.5266666666666666,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.8069335798314506,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "E_{T~U(9+3k,15+3k)}[1 - Phi(ln(T/15)/0.4)] for book k, where T is the 6 s measured floor + U(0,6) s jitter + a 3 s block + one block of round-robin per extra book: book 0 = 0.7077, book 1 = 0.5062, book 2 = 0.3330; book-level mean 0.5157. The single-book figure is the MVP's re-derived 0.708 unchanged. Book 2's slowest mine is 21 s, still inside the 24 s trough, so every book's protect lands."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-work-b3",
        "arm": "H1",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.293,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.2866666666666667,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.9286101789978359,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "Book 0 acts inside the trough (0.6392); books 1 and 2 cannot (53-63 s and 98-108 s against a 24 s trough) and inherit passive's 0.120. Book-level mean 0.2931."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-work-b3",
        "arm": "H2",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.12,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.12666666666666668,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.8012150992435332,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "H2 cannot act inside a 24 s trough on ANY book — its fastest response is 41 s of path time — so every book is passive and carries passive's P(d >= 24) = 0.120. The sequential penalty is irrelevant when book 0 is already too slow."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-work-b3",
        "arm": "H3",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.12,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.12666666666666668,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.8012150992435332,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "Same as H2 at every book: 41 s of path time against a 27 s recovery, so the hard off window changes nothing and each book carries P(d >= 24) = 0.120."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-work-b3",
        "arm": "P",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.12,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.12666666666666668,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.8012150992435332,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "Each book arms its OWN liquidator at the 3 s trough print and survives iff that one fires after the 27 s recovery, so the book-level rate is P(d >= 24) = 0.120 whatever the book count."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-night-b1",
        "arm": "A",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.708,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.76,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.53387273998858,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "E_{T~U(9+3k,15+3k)}[1 - Phi(ln(T/15)/0.4)] for book k, where T is the 6 s measured floor + U(0,6) s jitter + a 3 s block + one block of round-robin per extra book: book 0 = 0.7077, book 1 = 0.5062, book 2 = 0.3330; book-level mean 0.5157. The single-book figure is the MVP's re-derived 0.708 unchanged."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-night-b1",
        "arm": "H1",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.639,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.66,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.8831256521648394,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "H1's total delay is REPORT-PLAN §3's U(5,15) s plus a 3 s block plus 45 s per extra book, sequential: book 0 ~ U(8,18) s, book 1 ~ U(53,63) s, book 2 ~ U(98,108) s. E[1 - Phi(ln(T/15)/0.4)] over each: 0.6392, 0.000401, 0.0000012; book-level mean 0.2132. This is §6.7's own 'sequential hands cannot save three books in one wick', computed."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-night-b1",
        "arm": "H2",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.12,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.14,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.6614322616201241,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "H2's fastest possible response is ON_SCREEN notice 5 s + action 30 s + a 3 s block = 38 s after the 3 s trough print, against a market that recovers at 27 s. H2 is passive here and inherits passive's P(d >= 24) = 0.120."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-night-b1",
        "arm": "H3",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.12,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.14,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.6614322616201241,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "Same as H2 — the fastest human response the model allows is 41 s of path time against a 27 s recovery — so H3 is passive here at P(d >= 24) = 0.120."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-night-b1",
        "arm": "P",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.12,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.14,
        "nBooks": 50,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.6614322616201241,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "Passive arms a liquidator at the 3 s trough print and survives iff it fires after the 27 s recovery: P(d >= 24) = 1 - Phi(ln(24/15)/0.4) = 0.120."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-night-b3",
        "arm": "A",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.516,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.5666666666666667,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.22133219088721665,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "E_{T~U(9+3k,15+3k)}[1 - Phi(ln(T/15)/0.4)] for book k, where T is the 6 s measured floor + U(0,6) s jitter + a 3 s block + one block of round-robin per extra book: book 0 = 0.7077, book 1 = 0.5062, book 2 = 0.3330; book-level mean 0.5157. The single-book figure is the MVP's re-derived 0.708 unchanged."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-night-b3",
        "arm": "H1",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.293,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.36,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.07326210899147385,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "Book 0 inside the trough, books 1 and 2 passive. Book-level mean 0.2931."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-night-b3",
        "arm": "H2",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.12,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.12,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.999999999999914,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "H2 cannot act inside a 24 s trough on ANY book — its fastest response is 41 s of path time — so every book is passive and carries passive's P(d >= 24) = 0.120. The sequential penalty is irrelevant when book 0 is already too slow."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-night-b3",
        "arm": "H3",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.12,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.12,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.999999999999914,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "Same as H2 at every book: 41 s of path time against a 27 s recovery, so the hard off window changes nothing and each book carries P(d >= 24) = 0.120."
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-night-b3",
        "arm": "P",
        "kind": "derived",
        "target": 0.12,
        "plannedValue": null,
        "observedBookSurvival": 0.12,
        "nBooks": 150,
        "pExactBinomial": 0.999999999999914,
        "falsifiedAt05": false,
        "arithmetic": "Each book arms its OWN liquidator at the 3 s trough print and survives iff that one fires after the 27 s recovery, so the book-level rate is P(d >= 24) = 0.120 whatever the book count."
      }
    ],
    "nFalsified": 14,
    "falsificationByKind": [
      {
        "kind": "planned",
        "n": 50,
        "nFalsified": 14,
        "falsifiedCells": [
          "grind-work-b3/H3",
          "grind-night-b1/H3",
          "grind-night-b3/H2",
          "grind-night-b3/H3",
          "crash-work-b3/A",
          "crash-work-b3/H1",
          "crash-work-b3/H2",
          "crash-work-b3/H3",
          "crash-night-b3/A",
          "crash-night-b3/H1",
          "wick-persist-work-b1/H2",
          "wick-persist-work-b1/H3",
          "wick-persist-work-b3/H2",
          "wick-persist-work-b3/H3"
        ]
      },
      {
        "kind": "derived",
        "n": 30,
        "nFalsified": 0,
        "falsifiedCells": []
      }
    ],
    "wick1blockLoss": {
      "shock": "wick-1block",
      "cellIds": [
        "wick-1block-work-b1",
        "wick-1block-work-b3",
        "wick-1block-night-b1",
        "wick-1block-night-b3"
      ],
      "nPairs": 200,
      "medianGapAvsP": 0.18301753769821094,
      "aLosesToP": false,
      "aBelowPOnFractionOfPaths": 0.11,
      "aTiesPOnFractionOfPaths": 0.17,
      "aAbovePOnFractionOfPaths": 0.72,
      "troughSec": 24,
      "byBooks": [
        {
          "books": 1,
          "nPairs": 100,
          "medianGapAvsP": 0.530885648742448,
          "aBelowPFraction": 0.13
        },
        {
          "books": 3,
          "nPairs": 100,
          "medianGapAvsP": 0.18087523600446664,
          "aBelowPFraction": 0.09
        }
      ],
      "preRegistered": "Arm A was pre-registered to LOSE on wick-1block against passive, by roughly one protect's keeper fee plus one transaction's gas, because the market recovers and the position would have repaired itself. The MVP reported that prediction as FAILED on a 24 s trough: a -35% drop also crosses HF 1.0, so the trough that is long enough for A's protect to land is also long enough for the liquidator to reach passive on P(d < 24) = 0.880 of paths, and A wins the cell instead. The full run repeats the prediction UNCHANGED rather than restating it to match, so a second failure is reported as a second failure of the same prediction."
    },
    "plannedLosses": [
      {
        "id": "§6.6-3",
        "statement": "wick-1block + A poll 60 s + liquidator 2 s — the production sentinel does not see a one-block wick.",
        "status": "NOT TESTED",
        "why": "The A-poll axis (evented vs the 60 s production sentinel) and the 2 s mainnet-MEV liquidator are both exploratory axes outside the crossed 16 cells. This run is evented and testnet-shaped throughout. The limitation is printed next to the win rather than the loss being claimed as tested."
      },
      {
        "id": "§6.6-1",
        "statement": "buffer = 0.5x — the repay cannot restore HF to 1.40 and may not restore it above 1.",
        "status": "NOT TESTED",
        "why": "The buffer is fixed at 1.2x in the primary design (REPORT-PLAN §6.3). Not crossed here."
      },
      {
        "id": "§6.6-2",
        "statement": "trigger = 1.05 against a 2 s liquidator — the transaction loses the race.",
        "status": "NOT TESTED",
        "why": "The trigger is fixed at 1.15 in the primary design. Not crossed here."
      },
      {
        "id": "§6.6-4",
        "statement": "HF0 = 1.55 + grind -28% — nobody is liquidated, including P. A negative control.",
        "status": "NOT TESTED",
        "why": "HF0 is fixed at 1.35 in the primary design, and `assertMvpPathInvariants` currently REQUIRES arm P to be liquidatable on every path, which a negative control would have to relax. Named here so the absence is visible."
      },
      {
        "id": "wick-1block",
        "statement": "Arm A finishes below passive on the shock that recovers.",
        "status": "FAILED",
        "why": "See preRegistered.wick1blockLoss. The MVP already reported this as failed on the 24 s trough; the prediction was left standing rather than rewritten."
      }
    ]
  },
  "mechanism": {
    "avoidedSeizureCost": {
      "nPairsTotal": 1600,
      "nPairs": 1015,
      "medianMemoPenaltyN": 32.33675925925934,
      "medianMemoPenaltyFractionOfOpening": 0.021875000000000047,
      "medianTerminalCostN": 29.104891797553364,
      "medianTerminalCostFractionOfOpening": 0.01968872338031761,
      "medianGapFractionOfOpening": 0.019518730975577395,
      "medianRatioTrueOverMemo": 0.8773764993681217,
      "minRatioTrueOverMemo": 0.15468814573225623,
      "maxRatioTrueOverMemo": 12.655798451629005,
      "maxOverstatementFactor": 6.464619478540144,
      "nPairsWithNonPositiveTerminalCost": 0,
      "identityResidualN": 5.684341886080801e-13,
      "perCell": [
        {
          "cellId": "grind-work-b1",
          "nPairs": 13,
          "medianMemoPenaltyN": 32.33675925925934,
          "medianTerminalCostN": 14.014205412346996,
          "medianRatioTrueOverMemo": 0.43338311362583914,
          "minRatioTrueOverMemo": 0.24221391005473838,
          "maxRatioTrueOverMemo": 0.5912013641330366,
          "medianGapFractionOfOpening": 0.009318874396704526
        },
        {
          "cellId": "grind-work-b3",
          "nPairs": 39,
          "medianMemoPenaltyN": 32.33675925925934,
          "medianTerminalCostN": 15.288691162266105,
          "medianRatioTrueOverMemo": 0.4727960226220977,
          "minRatioTrueOverMemo": 0.2593163683989776,
          "maxRatioTrueOverMemo": 0.6314987166289925,
          "medianGapFractionOfOpening": 0.010181073302067837
        },
        {
          "cellId": "grind-night-b1",
          "nPairs": 46,
          "medianMemoPenaltyN": 32.33675925925934,
          "medianTerminalCostN": 14.065390733981644,
          "medianRatioTrueOverMemo": 0.4349659970936682,
          "minRatioTrueOverMemo": 0.25043219472749195,
          "maxRatioTrueOverMemo": 0.6467612612100543,
          "medianGapFractionOfOpening": 0.009353348856100787
        },
        {
          "cellId": "grind-night-b3",
          "nPairs": 147,
          "medianMemoPenaltyN": 32.33675925925934,
          "medianTerminalCostN": 13.596920121240146,
          "medianRatioTrueOverMemo": 0.42047875027386333,
          "minRatioTrueOverMemo": 0.15468814573225623,
          "maxRatioTrueOverMemo": 0.6784338357524375,
          "medianGapFractionOfOpening": 0.009036248643048986
        },
        {
          "cellId": "crash-work-b1",
          "nPairs": 32,
          "medianMemoPenaltyN": 32.33675925925934,
          "medianTerminalCostN": 27.273849323467914,
          "medianRatioTrueOverMemo": 0.8434317460448142,
          "minRatioTrueOverMemo": 0.5394582861401818,
          "maxRatioTrueOverMemo": 1.1499989682260303,
          "medianGapFractionOfOpening": 0.018280056681224954
        },
        {
          "cellId": "crash-work-b3",
          "nPairs": 121,
          "medianMemoPenaltyN": 32.33675925925934,
          "medianTerminalCostN": 26.086224891885536,
          "medianRatioTrueOverMemo": 0.8067049849596781,
          "minRatioTrueOverMemo": 0.49875624094563564,
          "maxRatioTrueOverMemo": 1.2163456155670325,
          "medianGapFractionOfOpening": 0.017468222659372895
        },
        {
          "cellId": "crash-night-b1",
          "nPairs": 50,
          "medianMemoPenaltyN": 32.33675925925934,
          "medianTerminalCostN": 25.24926642109,
          "medianRatioTrueOverMemo": 0.7808224138558381,
          "minRatioTrueOverMemo": 0.3567342373278863,
          "maxRatioTrueOverMemo": 1.1299169230512067,
          "medianGapFractionOfOpening": 0.016908746935929208
        },
        {
          "cellId": "crash-night-b3",
          "nPairs": 150,
          "medianMemoPenaltyN": 32.33675925925934,
          "medianTerminalCostN": 25.581734431842165,
          "medianRatioTrueOverMemo": 0.7911038402686276,
          "minRatioTrueOverMemo": 0.4327231855693463,
          "maxRatioTrueOverMemo": 1.281895773193201,
          "medianGapFractionOfOpening": 0.017131191352766126
        },
        {
          "cellId": "wick-persist-work-b1",
          "nPairs": 33,
          "medianMemoPenaltyN": 64.67351851851868,
          "medianTerminalCostN": 66.07867301787269,
          "medianRatioTrueOverMemo": 1.0217268911842434,
          "minRatioTrueOverMemo": 0.8876988371585357,
          "maxRatioTrueOverMemo": 1.2064895068376553,
          "medianGapFractionOfOpening": 0.044507976244527195
        },
        {
          "cellId": "wick-persist-work-b3",
          "nPairs": 81,
          "medianMemoPenaltyN": 64.67351851851868,
          "medianTerminalCostN": 65.25463712371425,
          "medianRatioTrueOverMemo": 1.0089854181202338,
          "minRatioTrueOverMemo": 0.877565416599617,
          "maxRatioTrueOverMemo": 1.315641160798196,
          "medianGapFractionOfOpening": 0.043950536797976766
        },
        {
          "cellId": "wick-persist-night-b1",
          "nPairs": 40,
          "medianMemoPenaltyN": 64.67351851851868,
          "medianTerminalCostN": 65.77450680840548,
          "medianRatioTrueOverMemo": 1.0170237883311009,
          "minRatioTrueOverMemo": 0.7420713200474394,
          "maxRatioTrueOverMemo": 1.2621423653410302,
          "medianGapFractionOfOpening": 0.04430221549470205
        },
        {
          "cellId": "wick-persist-night-b3",
          "nPairs": 76,
          "medianMemoPenaltyN": 64.67351851851868,
          "medianTerminalCostN": 64.8167365560472,
          "medianRatioTrueOverMemo": 1.0022144772823443,
          "minRatioTrueOverMemo": 0.8203737186578557,
          "maxRatioTrueOverMemo": 1.1878340118437978,
          "medianGapFractionOfOpening": 0.0436543081363191
        },
        {
          "cellId": "wick-1block-work-b1",
          "nPairs": 29,
          "medianMemoPenaltyN": 64.67351851851868,
          "medianTerminalCostN": 791.9012956988113,
          "medianRatioTrueOverMemo": 12.24459893073635,
          "minRatioTrueOverMemo": 12.050050173994416,
          "maxRatioTrueOverMemo": 12.553462491636267,
          "medianGapFractionOfOpening": 0.5355086279749326
        },
        {
          "cellId": "wick-1block-work-b3",
          "nPairs": 60,
          "medianMemoPenaltyN": 64.67351851851868,
          "medianTerminalCostN": 794.3773456961544,
          "medianRatioTrueOverMemo": 12.282884307101547,
          "minRatioTrueOverMemo": 11.913071751697094,
          "maxRatioTrueOverMemo": 12.655798451629005,
          "medianGapFractionOfOpening": 0.5371836131909102
        },
        {
          "cellId": "wick-1block-night-b1",
          "nPairs": 31,
          "medianMemoPenaltyN": 64.67351851851868,
          "medianTerminalCostN": 794.0827958364089,
          "medianRatioTrueOverMemo": 12.27832989493266,
          "minRatioTrueOverMemo": 12.057387131864832,
          "maxRatioTrueOverMemo": 12.621672117117633,
          "medianGapFractionOfOpening": 0.5369843576585214
        },
        {
          "cellId": "wick-1block-night-b3",
          "nPairs": 67,
          "medianMemoPenaltyN": 64.67351851851868,
          "medianTerminalCostN": 794.5887739207742,
          "medianRatioTrueOverMemo": 12.286153469340793,
          "minRatioTrueOverMemo": 12.098162188526459,
          "maxRatioTrueOverMemo": 12.604856536453747,
          "medianGapFractionOfOpening": 0.537326639038877
        }
      ],
      "note": "Restricted to pairs where H2 was seized and A was not. memo = c_s * P_s - d_c (the liquidator's discount); terminal = c_s * P(T) - d_c (what the seizure removed from the primary). The identity residual is the largest |E_A(T) - E_H2(T) - (terminal seizure cost avoided + friction difference)| over ALL pairs."
    },
    "bonusSensitivity": {
      "baselineBonusBps": 500,
      "alternativeBonusBps": 1000,
      "nPairs": 1600,
      "pooledMedianGapAtBaseline": 0.011519299559729138,
      "pooledMedianGapAtAlternative": 0.03290886067309716,
      "pooledRatio": 2.856845635662154,
      "perCell": [
        {
          "cellId": "grind-work-b1",
          "medianGapAtBaseline": 0.000005300829723190798,
          "medianGapAtAlternative": 0.000005300829723190798,
          "ratio": 1
        },
        {
          "cellId": "grind-work-b3",
          "medianGapAtBaseline": 0.000004414209153340987,
          "medianGapAtAlternative": 0.000004414209153340987,
          "ratio": 1
        },
        {
          "cellId": "grind-night-b1",
          "medianGapAtBaseline": 0.008825170823096019,
          "medianGapAtAlternative": 0.030086437682203596,
          "ratio": 3.4091620757601118
        },
        {
          "cellId": "grind-night-b3",
          "medianGapAtBaseline": 0.009012474712192934,
          "medianGapAtAlternative": 0.030282668494978043,
          "ratio": 3.3600836021219305
        },
        {
          "cellId": "crash-work-b1",
          "medianGapAtBaseline": 0.01590508147101211,
          "medianGapAtAlternative": 0.03750389748298744,
          "ratio": 2.357982104734287
        },
        {
          "cellId": "crash-work-b3",
          "medianGapAtBaseline": 0.016580565023199708,
          "medianGapAtAlternative": 0.038211727528387335,
          "ratio": 2.304609491589766
        },
        {
          "cellId": "crash-night-b1",
          "medianGapAtBaseline": 0.016908746935929208,
          "medianGapAtAlternative": 0.0385554369503623,
          "ratio": 2.280206634853366
        },
        {
          "cellId": "crash-night-b3",
          "medianGapAtBaseline": 0.017131191352766126,
          "medianGapAtAlternative": 0.03878859118637914,
          "ratio": 2.264208623185804
        },
        {
          "cellId": "wick-persist-work-b1",
          "medianGapAtBaseline": 0.04094758916033629,
          "medianGapAtAlternative": 0.08457331127486564,
          "ratio": 2.065403922651134
        },
        {
          "cellId": "wick-persist-work-b3",
          "medianGapAtBaseline": 0.03942440794234901,
          "medianGapAtAlternative": 0.08297759761792664,
          "ratio": 2.1047265374096726
        },
        {
          "cellId": "wick-persist-night-b1",
          "medianGapAtBaseline": 0.04253975278071593,
          "medianGapAtAlternative": 0.08624129221050161,
          "ratio": 2.0273106112077928
        },
        {
          "cellId": "wick-persist-night-b3",
          "medianGapAtBaseline": 0.03570060113910645,
          "medianGapAtAlternative": 0.07907646668119644,
          "ratio": 2.214989780510336
        },
        {
          "cellId": "wick-1block-work-b1",
          "medianGapAtBaseline": 0.528892624027159,
          "medianGapAtAlternative": 0.5957538239924896,
          "ratio": 1.126417342439431
        },
        {
          "cellId": "wick-1block-work-b3",
          "medianGapAtBaseline": 0,
          "medianGapAtAlternative": 0,
          "ratio": null
        },
        {
          "cellId": "wick-1block-night-b1",
          "medianGapAtBaseline": 0.5328497530971628,
          "medianGapAtAlternative": 0.5998993877801124,
          "ratio": 1.1258321586774265
        },
        {
          "cellId": "wick-1block-night-b3",
          "medianGapAtBaseline": 0,
          "medianGapAtAlternative": 0,
          "ratio": null
        }
      ],
      "selfCheckResidualN": 0,
      "method": "Every stored run replayed with each SEIZURE recomputed by seizureAmounts at the alternative bonus, against the balances the replay has reached; every other event applied as recorded. The seizure SCHEDULE is the engine's own, produced at the baseline bonus, and is not re-derived. Validated by rescoring at the baseline bonus and requiring every stored terminal equity back exactly (selfCheckResidualN)."
    },
    "agentDelay": {
      "unit": "book-record",
      "nRecords": 1600,
      "roundRobinSec": 3,
      "modelFloorSec": 6,
      "modelJitterMaxSec": 6,
      "chainMineSec": 3,
      "modelMinSec": 9,
      "modelMaxSec": 15,
      "pooledModelMinSec": 9,
      "pooledModelMaxSec": 21,
      "byBookIndex": [
        {
          "bookIndex": 0,
          "roundRobinOffsetSec": 0,
          "modelMinSec": 9,
          "modelMaxSec": 15,
          "nUncensored": 693,
          "observedMinSec": 9.000379046425223,
          "observedMedianSec": 12.038966209162027,
          "observedMaxSec": 14.997616415843368,
          "insideOwnModelBand": true
        },
        {
          "bookIndex": 1,
          "roundRobinOffsetSec": 3,
          "modelMinSec": 12,
          "modelMaxSec": 18,
          "nUncensored": 297,
          "observedMinSec": 12.00036647496745,
          "observedMedianSec": 14.86588921956718,
          "observedMaxSec": 17.99720115540549,
          "insideOwnModelBand": true
        },
        {
          "bookIndex": 2,
          "roundRobinOffsetSec": 6,
          "modelMinSec": 15,
          "modelMaxSec": 21,
          "nUncensored": 277,
          "observedMinSec": 15.011174594052136,
          "observedMedianSec": 17.934376596473157,
          "observedMaxSec": 20.98549790494144,
          "insideOwnModelBand": true
        }
      ],
      "everyBookIndexInsideItsOwnBand": true,
      "observedMinSec": 9.000379046425223,
      "observedMedianSec": 13.694664153736085,
      "observedMaxSec": 20.98549790494144,
      "nUncensored": 1267,
      "wick1blockTriggerAtSec": 3,
      "wick1blockEarliestMineSec": 12,
      "wick1blockLatestMineSec": 18,
      "wick1blockTroughEndsSec": 24,
      "wick1blockRecoveryPrintSec": 27,
      "mineVersusTrough": "always-inside"
    },
    "survivalSemantics": {
      "unitOfAnalysis": "book record — one position on one arm-path; a three-book run contributes three",
      "nSeizedRecords": 5066,
      "nStillLevered": 1975,
      "minHfAfterSeizure": 1.2079909517185716,
      "perShock": [
        {
          "shock": "grind",
          "nSeizedRecords": 869,
          "nStillLevered": 869,
          "nFullyDeleveraged": 0,
          "minHfAfterSeizure": 1.2621465375214282,
          "maxHfAfterSeizure": 1.264995150111428,
          "distinctCloseFactorBps": [
            5000
          ]
        },
        {
          "shock": "crash",
          "nSeizedRecords": 1106,
          "nStillLevered": 1106,
          "nFullyDeleveraged": 0,
          "minHfAfterSeizure": 1.2079909517185716,
          "maxHfAfterSeizure": 1.25972154012,
          "distinctCloseFactorBps": [
            5000
          ]
        },
        {
          "shock": "wick-persist",
          "nSeizedRecords": 1644,
          "nStillLevered": 0,
          "nFullyDeleveraged": 1644,
          "minHfAfterSeizure": null,
          "maxHfAfterSeizure": null,
          "distinctCloseFactorBps": [
            10000
          ]
        },
        {
          "shock": "wick-1block",
          "nSeizedRecords": 1447,
          "nStillLevered": 0,
          "nFullyDeleveraged": 1447,
          "minHfAfterSeizure": null,
          "maxHfAfterSeizure": null,
          "distinctCloseFactorBps": [
            10000
          ]
        }
      ],
      "note": "`survived` is liquidatedAtSec === null and is unchanged. Under the half-close branch a seizure clears half the debt and raises the health factor, so a run counted as a non-survivor may have ridden the rest of the path levered. This counts them."
    },
    "gasBound": {
      "unit": "arm-path",
      "maxTxCountOnAnyRun": 3,
      "txCountDistribution": [
        {
          "txCount": 0,
          "nRuns": 2370
        },
        {
          "txCount": 1,
          "nRuns": 1016
        },
        {
          "txCount": 2,
          "nRuns": 100
        },
        {
          "txCount": 3,
          "nRuns": 514
        }
      ],
      "nRuns": 4000,
      "gasCostPerTxN": 0.00751,
      "maxGasLineN": 0.02253,
      "maxGasLineFractionOfOpening": 0.000005080325108737045,
      "maxMarkErrorN": 0.012383553577563792,
      "maxMarkErrorFractionOfOpening": 0.0000028127115612578357,
      "nGasEvents": 2758,
      "note": "Every figure is per ARM-PATH — one arm on one path, all its books together — and each fraction is that run's own gas line over that run's own opening equity. maxGasLine is the largest total gas charged on any single arm-path. maxMarkError is the largest |sum of gasN * (1 - P(T)/P_event)| — the difference between charging gas in numeraire at a frozen rate and debiting BNB and marking it at the terminal price, which is the error Finding 6 is actually about."
    }
  },
  "perArm": [
    {
      "arm": "A",
      "label": "OFFCHAIN-SIM",
      "n": 800,
      "bookSurvivalRate": 0.791875,
      "portfolioSurvivalRate": 0.71625,
      "medianTerminalEquity": 1559.662523169629,
      "meanTerminalEquity": 1645.5149915476345,
      "medianEquityFractionOfOpening": -0.47377397108040525,
      "cvar5EquityFractionOfOpening": -0.6326087386106687,
      "cvar5TerminalEquityByBooks": [
        {
          "books": 1,
          "n": 400,
          "cvarN": 540.1626186594304,
          "openingEquityN": 1478.2518518518523
        },
        {
          "books": 3,
          "n": 400,
          "cvarN": 1656.3922866219768,
          "openingEquityN": 4434.755555555557
        }
      ],
      "terminalEquityClusters": {
        "maxOneBookN": 1502.4454717112662,
        "minThreeBookN": 1616.8795746279916,
        "pooledMedianInsideGap": true
      },
      "medianLatencySec": 13.976977257058024,
      "meanProtectCount": 1.58375,
      "meanTxCount": 1.58375,
      "perRunCountsByBooks": [
        {
          "books": 1,
          "nRuns": 400,
          "nUncensoredLatency": 346,
          "medianLatencySec": 12.059527726611122,
          "meanProtectCount": 0.865,
          "meanTxCount": 0.865,
          "maxTxCount": 1,
          "countSupportMax": 1
        },
        {
          "books": 3,
          "nRuns": 400,
          "nUncensoredLatency": 227,
          "medianLatencySec": 18.00858429260552,
          "meanProtectCount": 2.3025,
          "meanTxCount": 2.3025,
          "maxTxCount": 3,
          "countSupportMax": 3
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "arm": "H1",
      "label": "MODELLED",
      "n": 800,
      "bookSurvivalRate": 0.6825,
      "portfolioSurvivalRate": 0.66875,
      "medianTerminalEquity": 1557.857108396758,
      "meanTerminalEquity": 1566.4993815660187,
      "medianEquityFractionOfOpening": -0.47461579488134287,
      "cvar5EquityFractionOfOpening": -0.6351629072868252,
      "cvar5TerminalEquityByBooks": [
        {
          "books": 1,
          "n": 400,
          "cvarN": 539.3371869838355,
          "openingEquityN": 1478.2518518518523
        },
        {
          "books": 3,
          "n": 400,
          "cvarN": 1617.9362137232088,
          "openingEquityN": 4434.755555555557
        }
      ],
      "terminalEquityClusters": {
        "maxOneBookN": 1502.4454717112662,
        "minThreeBookN": 1613.2687450822496,
        "pooledMedianInsideGap": true
      },
      "medianLatencySec": 15.6055817224551,
      "meanProtectCount": 1.3325,
      "meanTxCount": 1.3325,
      "perRunCountsByBooks": [
        {
          "books": 1,
          "nRuns": 400,
          "nUncensoredLatency": 334,
          "medianLatencySec": 12.395005506230518,
          "meanProtectCount": 0.835,
          "meanTxCount": 0.835,
          "maxTxCount": 1,
          "countSupportMax": 1
        },
        {
          "books": 3,
          "nRuns": 400,
          "nUncensoredLatency": 200,
          "medianLatencySec": 103.32317203236744,
          "meanProtectCount": 1.83,
          "meanTxCount": 1.83,
          "maxTxCount": 3,
          "countSupportMax": 3
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "arm": "H2",
      "label": "MODELLED",
      "n": 800,
      "bookSurvivalRate": 0.1575,
      "portfolioSurvivalRate": 0.14,
      "medianTerminalEquity": 1556.0816795156782,
      "meanTerminalEquity": 1425.3160380227453,
      "medianEquityFractionOfOpening": -0.4931147660185582,
      "cvar5EquityFractionOfOpening": -0.6356030766165964,
      "cvar5TerminalEquityByBooks": [
        {
          "books": 1,
          "n": 400,
          "cvarN": 538.7736698665988,
          "openingEquityN": 1478.2518518518523
        },
        {
          "books": 3,
          "n": 400,
          "cvarN": 1615.8992025167975,
          "openingEquityN": 4434.755555555557
        }
      ],
      "terminalEquityClusters": {
        "maxOneBookN": 1498.8946139491068,
        "minThreeBookN": 1613.2687450822496,
        "pooledMedianInsideGap": true
      },
      "medianLatencySec": 436.5140900479855,
      "meanProtectCount": 0.2525,
      "meanTxCount": 0.2525,
      "perRunCountsByBooks": [
        {
          "books": 1,
          "nRuns": 400,
          "nUncensoredLatency": 59,
          "medianLatencySec": 336.3999742566466,
          "meanProtectCount": 0.1475,
          "meanTxCount": 0.1475,
          "maxTxCount": 1,
          "countSupportMax": 1
        },
        {
          "books": 3,
          "nRuns": 400,
          "nUncensoredLatency": 40,
          "medianLatencySec": 454.07553874376663,
          "meanProtectCount": 0.3575,
          "meanTxCount": 0.3575,
          "maxTxCount": 3,
          "countSupportMax": 3
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "arm": "H3",
      "label": "MODELLED",
      "n": 800,
      "bookSurvivalRate": 0.170625,
      "portfolioSurvivalRate": 0.1525,
      "medianTerminalEquity": 1556.0816795156782,
      "meanTerminalEquity": 1425.788628915801,
      "medianEquityFractionOfOpening": -0.4933426031468879,
      "cvar5EquityFractionOfOpening": -0.6356030766165964,
      "cvar5TerminalEquityByBooks": [
        {
          "books": 1,
          "n": 400,
          "cvarN": 538.7736698665988,
          "openingEquityN": 1478.2518518518523
        },
        {
          "books": 3,
          "n": 400,
          "cvarN": 1615.8992025167975,
          "openingEquityN": 4434.755555555557
        }
      ],
      "terminalEquityClusters": {
        "maxOneBookN": 1498.8946139491068,
        "minThreeBookN": 1613.2687450822496,
        "pooledMedianInsideGap": true
      },
      "medianLatencySec": 405.8550689874519,
      "meanProtectCount": 0.27875,
      "meanTxCount": 0.27875,
      "perRunCountsByBooks": [
        {
          "books": 1,
          "nRuns": 400,
          "nUncensoredLatency": 62,
          "medianLatencySec": 241.6683239570457,
          "meanProtectCount": 0.155,
          "meanTxCount": 0.155,
          "maxTxCount": 1,
          "countSupportMax": 1
        },
        {
          "books": 3,
          "nRuns": 400,
          "nUncensoredLatency": 47,
          "medianLatencySec": 497.455976761481,
          "meanProtectCount": 0.4025,
          "meanTxCount": 0.4025,
          "maxTxCount": 3,
          "countSupportMax": 3
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "arm": "P",
      "label": "OFFCHAIN-SIM",
      "n": 800,
      "bookSurvivalRate": 0.03125,
      "portfolioSurvivalRate": 0.01625,
      "medianTerminalEquity": 1556.0816795156782,
      "meanTerminalEquity": 1421.208008985142,
      "medianEquityFractionOfOpening": -0.49364739826525544,
      "cvar5EquityFractionOfOpening": -0.6356030766165964,
      "cvar5TerminalEquityByBooks": [
        {
          "books": 1,
          "n": 400,
          "cvarN": 538.7736698665988,
          "openingEquityN": 1478.2518518518523
        },
        {
          "books": 3,
          "n": 400,
          "cvarN": 1615.8992025167975,
          "openingEquityN": 4434.755555555557
        }
      ],
      "terminalEquityClusters": {
        "maxOneBookN": 1498.8946139491068,
        "minThreeBookN": 1613.2687450822496,
        "pooledMedianInsideGap": true
      },
      "medianLatencySec": null,
      "meanProtectCount": 0,
      "meanTxCount": 0,
      "perRunCountsByBooks": [
        {
          "books": 1,
          "nRuns": 400,
          "nUncensoredLatency": 0,
          "medianLatencySec": null,
          "meanProtectCount": 0,
          "meanTxCount": 0,
          "maxTxCount": 0,
          "countSupportMax": 1
        },
        {
          "books": 3,
          "nRuns": 400,
          "nUncensoredLatency": 0,
          "medianLatencySec": null,
          "meanProtectCount": 0,
          "meanTxCount": 0,
          "maxTxCount": 0,
          "countSupportMax": 3
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "corrections": {
    "provenance": "An independent replay of all 8,000 book-level ledgers in a second language recomputed every headline in this study from the stored event records. Every one of them matched, C1 included. What it found instead were three defects in the analysis layer: an estimator, a renderer and a label. A later independent verifier, reading the corrected document, found two more — both in section 9, both the same class as the first, and both missed by the sweep that had been run over the first three because that sweep enumerated by SECTION and by NUMERAIRE while these two are in seconds and in counts. Five defects; four of them one class — every one except the dropped-disclosure renderer — and four separate passes to find those four. That is the reason this report now carries a mechanism rather than another patch.",
    "c1Unaffected": {
      "claim": "C1 is untouched by all five corrections.",
      "medianGapFractionOfOpening": 0.015535402229657668,
      "endpoint": "cost-inclusive terminal equity as a fraction of opening equity, paired per path",
      "why": "C1's gaps are formed per path and divided by THAT path's own opening equity, so a one-book and a three-book pair enter on the same scale. None of the five defects touches the primary; if it had moved, something else would be broken. The scale census reaches the same verdict independently: C1's endpoint is the one leaf in the whole sweep whose scale-free declaration the data does not argue with."
    },
    "c1b": {
      "supersededMethod": "CVaR(5%) of terminal equity in ABSOLUTE numeraire over the pooled 800 paths, divided by the opening equity of whichever record sorted first.",
      "supersededCvarAN": 558.182853563888,
      "supersededCvarBN": 539.3660776317081,
      "supersededGapN": 18.816775932179894,
      "supersededDenominatorN": 1478.2518518518523,
      "supersededGapFractionOfOpening": 0.012729073133652787,
      "supersededTailBooks": [
        1
      ],
      "supersededTailCells": [
        "wick-persist-night-b1",
        "wick-persist-work-b1"
      ],
      "supersededTailShocks": [
        "wick-persist"
      ],
      "supersededTailArmsChecked": 5,
      "supersededNTailPaths": 40,
      "supersededNPathsOnContributingLevel": 400,
      "supersededGapIfThreeBookCellHadSortedFirst": 0.004243024377884262,
      "effectiveAlphaOnTheContributingLevel": 0.1,
      "correctedMethod": "CVaR(5%) of E(T)/E(0) − 1 — the mean of the worst 5% of paths, ranked on each path's own return, pooled over all 800 paths, with the within-level test in N printed beside it. Reported as the gap in CVaR(5%) of E(T)/E(0) − 1, arm A minus arm H2, in bps of opening equity. The −1 shifts both arms' levels by the same constant, so the GAP is identical on E(T)/E(0) and on the return; the LEVELS are not, which is why they are labelled separately.",
      "correctedGapFractionOfOpening": 0.0029943380059277436,
      "correctedTailCellsContributing": 4,
      "inflationFactor": 4.251047513157722,
      "direction": "TOWARD ARM A on the headline number, and the correction makes the report's own point HARDER rather than easier: §12's Finding 2 reads the tail as the place the agent helps least, and a smaller tail gap is a stronger version of that sentence, not a weaker one. The estimand is fixed because it was wrong, not because of which way it pointed."
    },
    "gas": {
      "supersededUnit": "book — the 8,000 book-level records were passed to a function whose every field is named 'on any arm-path'",
      "supersededMaxTxCount": 1,
      "supersededMaxGasLineN": 0.00751,
      "correctedUnit": "arm-path",
      "correctedMaxTxCount": 3,
      "correctedMaxGasLineN": 0.02253,
      "correctedTxCountDistribution": [
        {
          "txCount": 0,
          "nRuns": 2370
        },
        {
          "txCount": 1,
          "nRuns": 1016
        },
        {
          "txCount": 2,
          "nRuns": 100
        },
        {
          "txCount": 3,
          "nRuns": 514
        }
      ],
      "direction": "Toward arm A, and small: it understated the largest gas line by a factor of three. It also contradicted the 'mean transactions per run' row printed two rows above it in the same table."
    },
    "delayBand": {
      "supersededUnit": "book record — arm A has 1,600 of them, against 800 arm-paths",
      "supersededLabel": "\"Observed band, uncensored arm-A runs ... over 1267 runs\" — a count of BOOK records under the word runs",
      "supersededMinSec": 9.000379046425223,
      "supersededMaxSec": 20.98549790494144,
      "supersededMedianSec": 13.694664153736085,
      "supersededN": 1267,
      "supersededComparedAgainst": "book 0's model band, 9-15 s, which is the only book that band describes",
      "nArmPathsForComparison": 800,
      "correctedUnit": "book-record",
      "perBookIndex": [
        {
          "bookIndex": 0,
          "modelMinSec": 9,
          "modelMaxSec": 15,
          "nUncensored": 693,
          "observedMinSec": 9.000379046425223,
          "observedMaxSec": 14.997616415843368,
          "insideOwnModelBand": true
        },
        {
          "bookIndex": 1,
          "modelMinSec": 12,
          "modelMaxSec": 18,
          "nUncensored": 297,
          "observedMinSec": 12.00036647496745,
          "observedMaxSec": 17.99720115540549,
          "insideOwnModelBand": true
        },
        {
          "bookIndex": 2,
          "modelMinSec": 15,
          "modelMaxSec": 21,
          "nUncensored": 277,
          "observedMinSec": 15.011174594052136,
          "observedMaxSec": 20.98549790494144,
          "insideOwnModelBand": true
        }
      ],
      "everyBookIndexInsideItsOwnBand": true,
      "pooledModelMinSec": 9,
      "pooledModelMaxSec": 21,
      "direction": "AGAINST arm A, and it is the first defect in this document that is. As printed it read as arm A missing its own 9-15 s model band by 6 s. It did not: book 0's observed band is inside the model band, and 20.985 s is book 2 arriving two blocks behind it under the round-robin the design charges arm A for. A correction that takes something back from the agent is worth the same section as the three that gave it something."
    },
    "perRunCounts": {
      "supersededMethod": "Mean protects and mean transactions per run, taken over all 800 arm-paths of an arm at once. The support of both counts is 0..1 on a one-book run and 0..3 on a three-book one, so the pooled mean is set by how many cells hold three books as much as by how the arm behaves.",
      "perArm": [
        {
          "arm": "A",
          "pooledMeanTxCount": 1.58375,
          "pooledMeanProtectCount": 1.58375,
          "byBooks": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "meanTxCount": 0.865,
              "meanProtectCount": 0.865,
              "supportMax": 1
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "meanTxCount": 2.3025,
              "meanProtectCount": 2.3025,
              "supportMax": 3
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "arm": "H1",
          "pooledMeanTxCount": 1.3325,
          "pooledMeanProtectCount": 1.3325,
          "byBooks": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "meanTxCount": 0.835,
              "meanProtectCount": 0.835,
              "supportMax": 1
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "meanTxCount": 1.83,
              "meanProtectCount": 1.83,
              "supportMax": 3
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "arm": "H2",
          "pooledMeanTxCount": 0.2525,
          "pooledMeanProtectCount": 0.2525,
          "byBooks": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "meanTxCount": 0.1475,
              "meanProtectCount": 0.1475,
              "supportMax": 1
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "meanTxCount": 0.3575,
              "meanProtectCount": 0.3575,
              "supportMax": 3
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "arm": "H3",
          "pooledMeanTxCount": 0.27875,
          "pooledMeanProtectCount": 0.27875,
          "byBooks": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "meanTxCount": 0.155,
              "meanProtectCount": 0.155,
              "supportMax": 1
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "meanTxCount": 0.4025,
              "meanProtectCount": 0.4025,
              "supportMax": 3
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "arm": "P",
          "pooledMeanTxCount": 0,
          "pooledMeanProtectCount": 0,
          "byBooks": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "meanTxCount": 0,
              "meanProtectCount": 0,
              "supportMax": 1
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "meanTxCount": 0,
              "meanProtectCount": 0,
              "supportMax": 3
            }
          ]
        }
      ],
      "direction": "NEITHER — and that is why it survived four readings. A figure that describes no book level does not look like it flatters anyone, so a reader checking whether the result is tilted has no reason to stop on it. Arm A's 1.584 is not a rate of anything: it is 0.865 at one book and 2.303 at three, and the pooled number is a statement about the cell design."
    },
    "mechanism": {
      "what": "Every summary object this report prints is rebuilt three times — pooled, one-book only, three-book only — and every numeric leaf of the three is compared. A leaf the Books axis moves must carry a declaration saying whether it is scale-free, within a level, or deliberately pooled with a reason; an undeclared one stops the run before the report is written. A second lint reads each leaf's NAME against the unit of analysis of the records it was computed over, which is the only tooth that bites on defect 3.",
      "nLeavesSwept": 251,
      "nAxisSensitive": 37,
      "nUndeclared": 0,
      "nContradicted": 0,
      "nUnitLintFindings": 0,
      "foundByTheSweepItself": [
        "§9's median latency per arm pools 'time to protect the only book' with 'time to protect the LAST of three' — 12.06 s against 18.01 s on arm A, pooled to 13.98 s. Now printed per level.",
        "`survivalSemantics.nSeizedRuns` counted BOOK records under a field named for runs — the same class as defect 3, caught by the unit lint rather than by a reader. Renamed to `nSeizedRecords`, and the function now records its unit of analysis.",
        "§4's pooled book- and portfolio-survival rates, §5's pooled mean and median paired gaps, and §5.3's per-book medians are all mixtures of two levels whose EFFECTS differ. Each is scale-free in its unit and each now carries, in the declaration table, the section where the report discloses the mixture.",
        "§0.3's own row for §5.3 read `pools the two book levels: no`. It does — the decomposition runs over book records from both levels, 400 at one book and 1,200 at three — and the scale is sound only because every book opens at the same equity. The census corrected the sweep's own ledger, which is the closest thing here to the mechanism auditing the account of why it exists."
      ]
    },
    "scaleMixtureSweep": {
      "question": "Where else does a statistic pool one-book and three-book portfolios, and on what scale? A tail, a median or a maximum taken in absolute numeraire over a sample whose two halves differ threefold is a selection on portfolio size wearing the name of something else.",
      "nChecked": 13,
      "rows": [
        {
          "statistic": "C1 — median paired gap, A vs H2 (and every exploratory pair)",
          "poolsBookLevels": true,
          "basis": "scale-free: each pair's gap is divided by THAT path's own opening equity in `pairedFull`",
          "verdict": "sound — unchanged by this audit",
          "evidence": "median of the per-path-denominator gaps 155.4 bps; a single fixed one-book denominator would have given 362.4 bps. The code uses the first."
        },
        {
          "statistic": "C1b — CVaR(5%) tail, A vs H2",
          "poolsBookLevels": true,
          "basis": "was absolute N; now the scale-free endpoint E(T)/E(0) − 1",
          "verdict": "CORRECTED — defect 1",
          "evidence": "on the absolute ranking the tail drew from 1 book(s) and 2 cell(s); on the scale-free ranking it draws from 1 and 3 book(s) and 4 cell(s)."
        },
        {
          "statistic": "§3.1 pooled CVaR(5%) of terminal equity, per arm",
          "poolsBookLevels": true,
          "basis": "was absolute N; now the scale-free endpoint, with the N-denominated tail printed per book level",
          "verdict": "CORRECTED — the same defect, found by the sweep rather than by the auditor",
          "evidence": "an absolute 5% tail over the pooled sample selects one-book paths only, for exactly the reason C1b did."
        },
        {
          "statistic": "§3.1 pooled median and mean terminal equity in N, per arm",
          "poolsBookLevels": true,
          "basis": "absolute N, and kept that way because it is the raw quantity",
          "verdict": "DISCLOSED — the report now says the pooled median names no path",
          "evidence": "the one-book and three-book clusters do not overlap, so the pooled median falls in the empty band between them on 5 of 5 arms (A, H1, H2, H3, P) and is a value no run in the study has."
        },
        {
          "statistic": "§3.2 / §5.4 per-cell medians and per-cell paired gaps",
          "poolsBookLevels": false,
          "basis": "within one cell, and a cell has one book level",
          "verdict": "sound",
          "evidence": "0 of 16 cells contain more than one book level."
        },
        {
          "statistic": "§5.3 avoided-seizure decomposition and bonus rescore",
          "poolsBookLevels": true,
          "basis": "BOOK-level records from both levels, and every book in the study opens at the same equity, so N is homogeneous and the axis does not set the scale",
          "verdict": "sound on scale, DISCLOSED as a mixture — the census corrected this row, which used to claim it did not pool the levels at all",
          "evidence": "1 distinct opening equity value among 8,000 book records, so N is homogeneous here — but the 400 one-book records and 1,200 three-book ones give median terminal costs of 35.76 N and 27.83 N, so the pooled 29.10 N is weighted three to one toward three books. §5.3.1 is the disclosure."
        },
        {
          "statistic": "§6 the Books axis",
          "poolsBookLevels": false,
          "basis": "split BY book level by construction, and its gaps are scale-free",
          "verdict": "sound",
          "evidence": "the axis is the split; nothing in it pools the two levels."
        },
        {
          "statistic": "§9 the gas bound",
          "poolsBookLevels": true,
          "basis": "was a per-book maximum under an arm-path label; now per arm-path, each fraction against that run's own opening equity",
          "verdict": "CORRECTED — defect 3",
          "evidence": "largest transaction count on any arm-path is 3, not 1."
        },
        {
          "statistic": "§9 arm A's realised delay band against its model",
          "poolsBookLevels": true,
          "basis": "was pooled over three round-robin offsets in SECONDS, compared against book 0's band and counted in 'runs'; now per book index, each against its own band",
          "verdict": "CORRECTED — defect 4, found by an independent verifier and missed by the first sweep",
          "evidence": "book 0: 9.000–14.998 s inside 9–15 s; book 1: 12.000–17.997 s inside 12–18 s; book 2: 15.011–20.985 s inside 15–21 s. Every index is inside its own band; the pooled 9.000–20.985 s was printed against book 0's 9–15 s, over 1267 BOOK records labelled runs."
        },
        {
          "statistic": "§9 mean protects and mean transactions per run",
          "poolsBookLevels": true,
          "basis": "COUNTS whose support is 0..1 at one book and 0..3 at three; the pooled mean is on the axis's own scale",
          "verdict": "CORRECTED — defect 5, found by the same verifier and missed by the same sweep",
          "evidence": "arm A pooled 1.584; 0.865 at 1 book (support 0..1), 2.303 at 3 books (support 0..3). The pooled figure describes neither level."
        },
        {
          "statistic": "§9 median latency per arm",
          "poolsBookLevels": true,
          "basis": "seconds, and the QUANTITY differs by level: time to the only book, against time to the LAST of three",
          "verdict": "CORRECTED — found by the mechanical census, not by any reader",
          "evidence": "arm A pooled 13.98 s; 12.06 s at 1, 18.01 s at 3. Now printed per level, with the two quantities named."
        },
        {
          "statistic": "§4.3 `nSeizedRuns` — the count of seized positions",
          "poolsBookLevels": true,
          "basis": "a count of BOOK records under a field named for runs — defect 3's class, in a different function",
          "verdict": "CORRECTED — found by the unit-of-analysis lint, which is the only tooth that bites here",
          "evidence": "5,066 seized BOOK records over 8,000, not runs over 4,000. Renamed `nSeizedRecords`, and `survivalSemantics` now records the unit it was handed. The report's own sentence already said \"book-runs\"; the field did not."
        },
        {
          "statistic": "§4 book-level and portfolio-level survival rates, pooled",
          "poolsBookLevels": true,
          "basis": "fractions — the axis divides out of the unit, but the EFFECT differs by level",
          "verdict": "DISCLOSED — the census requires the disclosure to be named, and §4 and §6.1 carry it",
          "evidence": "arm A: book survival 0.865 at one book against 0.767 at three, pooled 0.792; portfolio survival 0.865 against 0.568, pooled 0.716. Scale-free in unit, a mixture in effect."
        }
      ]
    }
  },
  "booksScale": {
    "question": "Not 'which section is this in' and not 'is it denominated in N' — four passes enumerated that way and each found one more. The only question that closes the class: DOES RESTRICTING THE POPULATION TO ONE BOOK LEVEL MOVE THIS NUMBER, AND IF SO, HOW?",
    "method": "Every summary object the report prints is rebuilt three times — over the pooled population, over the one-book records alone, and over the three-book records alone — and every numeric leaf of the three is compared by path. A leaf whose levels agree is scale-free and needs nothing. A leaf whose pooled value equals one level's value is that level's statistic under a pooled label. A leaf whose levels sit on the books ratio is denominated in the axis. A leaf whose pooled value is near neither level names no record. The last three require a declaration in BOOKS_SCALE_DECLARATIONS, a scale-free declaration is refused on all three, and an undeclared one fails the run rather than printing.",
    "booksLevels": [
      1,
      3
    ],
    "booksRatio": 3,
    "chokepoint": [
      {
        "id": "3.1/medianReturn/A",
        "where": "§3.1",
        "quantity": "median E(T)/E(0) - 1, arm A",
        "unit": "fraction of opening equity · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "median",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "why": "Each run's outcome is divided by THAT run's own opening equity before the median is taken, so a one-book and a three-book path enter on one scale."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 400,
              "min": -0.6359054824665243,
              "median": -0.47490947489148794,
              "max": 0.016366372096274295,
              "value": -0.47490947489148794
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "n": 400,
              "min": -0.6354072835869216,
              "median": -0.4733948484857401,
              "max": 0.011665278005887958,
              "value": -0.4733948484857401
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": 3,
          "pooledValue": -0.47377397108040525,
          "levelRatio": 0.9968107050167953,
          "ratioTracksAxis": false,
          "supportsDisjoint": false,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": true,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": -0.47377397108040525,
        "verdict": "scale-free"
      },
      {
        "id": "3.1/cvar5Return/A",
        "where": "§3.1",
        "quantity": "CVaR(5%) of E(T)/E(0) - 1, arm A",
        "unit": "fraction of opening equity · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "CVaR(5%)",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "why": "The tail is SELECTED on the return, not on numeraire, so a three-book path can enter it. Selecting it in N is defect 1 and this declaration is what refuses it."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 400,
              "min": -0.6359054824665243,
              "median": -0.47490947489148794,
              "max": 0.016366372096274295,
              "value": -0.6345936465543731
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "n": 400,
              "min": -0.6354072835869216,
              "median": -0.4733948484857401,
              "max": 0.011665278005887958,
              "value": -0.6264975000601866
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": 3,
          "pooledValue": -0.6326087386106687,
          "levelRatio": 0.9872419988158629,
          "ratioTracksAxis": false,
          "supportsDisjoint": false,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": true,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": -0.6326087386106687,
        "verdict": "scale-free"
      },
      {
        "id": "9/meanTx/A",
        "where": "§9",
        "quantity": "mean transactions per run, arm A",
        "unit": "transactions · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "mean",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "Same quantity as the protect count on every arm here, and it is what the gas line is multiplied by.",
          "readerWarning": "Support 0..1 at one book and 0..3 at three. The pooled mean describes neither level; the per-level means are printed beside it."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 400,
              "min": 0,
              "median": 1,
              "max": 1,
              "value": 0.865
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "n": 400,
              "min": 0,
              "median": 3,
              "max": 3,
              "value": 2.3025
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": 3,
          "pooledValue": 1.58375,
          "levelRatio": 2.661849710982659,
          "ratioTracksAxis": true,
          "supportsDisjoint": false,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": false,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": 1.58375,
        "verdict": "pooled-disclosed"
      },
      {
        "id": "9/meanProtects/A",
        "where": "§9",
        "quantity": "mean protects per run, arm A",
        "unit": "protects · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "mean",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "It is the keeper's whole workload per run, and the gas bound is charged against it, so the pooled figure is the one the cost table needs.",
          "readerWarning": "The support is 0..1 protects on a one-book run and 0..3 on a three-book one, so this pooled mean is set by how many cells hold three books as much as by how the arm behaves. §9 prints it per book level beside this."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 400,
              "min": 0,
              "median": 1,
              "max": 1,
              "value": 0.865
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "n": 400,
              "min": 0,
              "median": 3,
              "max": 3,
              "value": 2.3025
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": 3,
          "pooledValue": 1.58375,
          "levelRatio": 2.661849710982659,
          "ratioTracksAxis": true,
          "supportsDisjoint": false,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": false,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": 1.58375,
        "verdict": "pooled-disclosed"
      },
      {
        "id": "9/medianLatency/A",
        "where": "§9",
        "quantity": "median latency to the last book protected, arm A",
        "unit": "seconds · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "median",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "The single 'how fast is this arm' number the secondaries table is read for.",
          "readerWarning": "At one book this is the time to protect the only book; at three it is the time to protect the LAST of three under the round-robin, which is a different quantity as well as a larger one. Both are printed per level."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 346,
              "min": 9.000379046425223,
              "median": 12.059527726611122,
              "max": 14.992975054308772,
              "value": 12.059527726611122
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "n": 227,
              "min": 15.021982830483466,
              "median": 18.00858429260552,
              "max": 20.98549790494144,
              "value": 18.00858429260552
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": 3,
          "pooledValue": 13.976977257058024,
          "levelRatio": 1.4933075905507418,
          "ratioTracksAxis": false,
          "supportsDisjoint": true,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": false,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": 13.976977257058024,
        "verdict": "pooled-disclosed"
      },
      {
        "id": "3.1/medianReturn/H1",
        "where": "§3.1",
        "quantity": "median E(T)/E(0) - 1, arm H1",
        "unit": "fraction of opening equity · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "median",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "why": "Each run's outcome is divided by THAT run's own opening equity before the median is taken, so a one-book and a three-book path enter on one scale."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 400,
              "min": -0.6367531838620821,
              "median": -0.47532854375307243,
              "max": 0.016366372096274295,
              "value": -0.47532854375307243
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "n": 400,
              "min": -0.636221495216065,
              "median": -0.47413081652723077,
              "max": 0.00510512480126592,
              "value": -0.47413081652723077
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": 3,
          "pooledValue": -0.47461579488134287,
          "levelRatio": 0.9974802118627577,
          "ratioTracksAxis": false,
          "supportsDisjoint": false,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": true,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": -0.47461579488134287,
        "verdict": "scale-free"
      },
      {
        "id": "3.1/cvar5Return/H1",
        "where": "§3.1",
        "quantity": "CVaR(5%) of E(T)/E(0) - 1, arm H1",
        "unit": "fraction of opening equity · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "CVaR(5%)",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "why": "The tail is SELECTED on the return, not on numeraire, so a three-book path can enter it. Selecting it in N is defect 1 and this declaration is what refuses it."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 400,
              "min": -0.6367531838620821,
              "median": -0.47532854375307243,
              "max": 0.016366372096274295,
              "value": -0.6351520302117728
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "n": 400,
              "min": -0.636221495216065,
              "median": -0.47413081652723077,
              "max": 0.00510512480126592,
              "value": -0.6351690203766994
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": 3,
          "pooledValue": -0.6351629072868252,
          "levelRatio": 1.0000267497608737,
          "ratioTracksAxis": false,
          "supportsDisjoint": false,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": true,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": -0.6351629072868252,
        "verdict": "scale-free"
      },
      {
        "id": "9/meanTx/H1",
        "where": "§9",
        "quantity": "mean transactions per run, arm H1",
        "unit": "transactions · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "mean",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "Same quantity as the protect count on every arm here, and it is what the gas line is multiplied by.",
          "readerWarning": "Support 0..1 at one book and 0..3 at three. The pooled mean describes neither level; the per-level means are printed beside it."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 400,
              "min": 0,
              "median": 1,
              "max": 1,
              "value": 0.835
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "n": 400,
              "min": 0,
              "median": 2,
              "max": 3,
              "value": 1.83
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": 3,
          "pooledValue": 1.3325,
          "levelRatio": 2.191616766467066,
          "ratioTracksAxis": false,
          "supportsDisjoint": false,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": false,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": 1.3325,
        "verdict": "pooled-disclosed"
      },
      {
        "id": "9/meanProtects/H1",
        "where": "§9",
        "quantity": "mean protects per run, arm H1",
        "unit": "protects · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "mean",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "It is the keeper's whole workload per run, and the gas bound is charged against it, so the pooled figure is the one the cost table needs.",
          "readerWarning": "The support is 0..1 protects on a one-book run and 0..3 on a three-book one, so this pooled mean is set by how many cells hold three books as much as by how the arm behaves. §9 prints it per book level beside this."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 400,
              "min": 0,
              "median": 1,
              "max": 1,
              "value": 0.835
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "n": 400,
              "min": 0,
              "median": 2,
              "max": 3,
              "value": 1.83
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": 3,
          "pooledValue": 1.3325,
          "levelRatio": 2.191616766467066,
          "ratioTracksAxis": false,
          "supportsDisjoint": false,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": false,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": 1.3325,
        "verdict": "pooled-disclosed"
      },
      {
        "id": "9/medianLatency/H1",
        "where": "§9",
        "quantity": "median latency to the last book protected, arm H1",
        "unit": "seconds · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "median",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "The single 'how fast is this arm' number the secondaries table is read for.",
          "readerWarning": "At one book this is the time to protect the only book; at three it is the time to protect the LAST of three under the round-robin, which is a different quantity as well as a larger one. Both are printed per level."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 334,
              "min": 8.034240442328155,
              "median": 12.395005506230518,
              "max": 17.9983930028975,
              "value": 12.395005506230518
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "n": 200,
              "min": 98.02634142059833,
              "median": 103.32317203236744,
              "max": 178.42498478433117,
              "value": 103.32317203236744
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": 3,
          "pooledValue": 15.6055817224551,
          "levelRatio": 8.335871410499225,
          "ratioTracksAxis": false,
          "supportsDisjoint": true,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": false,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": 15.6055817224551,
        "verdict": "pooled-disclosed"
      },
      {
        "id": "3.1/medianReturn/H2",
        "where": "§3.1",
        "quantity": "median E(T)/E(0) - 1, arm H2",
        "unit": "fraction of opening equity · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "median",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "why": "Each run's outcome is divided by THAT run's own opening equity before the median is taken, so a one-book and a three-book path enter on one scale."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 400,
              "min": -0.6367531838620821,
              "median": -0.49527974783814277,
              "max": 0.013964306604043592,
              "value": -0.49527974783814277
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "n": 400,
              "min": -0.636221495216065,
              "median": -0.49149328510649914,
              "max": -0.17158499753098744,
              "value": -0.49149328510649914
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": 3,
          "pooledValue": -0.4931147660185582,
          "levelRatio": 0.9923549009460386,
          "ratioTracksAxis": false,
          "supportsDisjoint": false,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": true,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": -0.4931147660185582,
        "verdict": "scale-free"
      },
      {
        "id": "3.1/cvar5Return/H2",
        "where": "§3.1",
        "quantity": "CVaR(5%) of E(T)/E(0) - 1, arm H2",
        "unit": "fraction of opening equity · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "CVaR(5%)",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "why": "The tail is SELECTED on the return, not on numeraire, so a three-book path can enter it. Selecting it in N is defect 1 and this declaration is what refuses it."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 400,
              "min": -0.6367531838620821,
              "median": -0.49527974783814277,
              "max": 0.013964306604043592,
              "value": -0.6355332352929846
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "n": 400,
              "min": -0.636221495216065,
              "median": -0.49149328510649914,
              "max": -0.17158499753098744,
              "value": -0.6356283492350532
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": 3,
          "pooledValue": -0.6356030766165964,
          "levelRatio": 1.0001496600599098,
          "ratioTracksAxis": false,
          "supportsDisjoint": false,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": true,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": -0.6356030766165964,
        "verdict": "scale-free"
      },
      {
        "id": "9/meanTx/H2",
        "where": "§9",
        "quantity": "mean transactions per run, arm H2",
        "unit": "transactions · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "mean",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "Same quantity as the protect count on every arm here, and it is what the gas line is multiplied by.",
          "readerWarning": "Support 0..1 at one book and 0..3 at three. The pooled mean describes neither level; the per-level means are printed beside it."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 400,
              "min": 0,
              "median": 0,
              "max": 1,
              "value": 0.1475
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "n": 400,
              "min": 0,
              "median": 0,
              "max": 3,
              "value": 0.3575
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": 3,
          "pooledValue": 0.2525,
          "levelRatio": 2.4237288135593222,
          "ratioTracksAxis": true,
          "supportsDisjoint": false,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": false,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": 0.2525,
        "verdict": "pooled-disclosed"
      },
      {
        "id": "9/meanProtects/H2",
        "where": "§9",
        "quantity": "mean protects per run, arm H2",
        "unit": "protects · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "mean",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "It is the keeper's whole workload per run, and the gas bound is charged against it, so the pooled figure is the one the cost table needs.",
          "readerWarning": "The support is 0..1 protects on a one-book run and 0..3 on a three-book one, so this pooled mean is set by how many cells hold three books as much as by how the arm behaves. §9 prints it per book level beside this."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 400,
              "min": 0,
              "median": 0,
              "max": 1,
              "value": 0.1475
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "n": 400,
              "min": 0,
              "median": 0,
              "max": 3,
              "value": 0.3575
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": 3,
          "pooledValue": 0.2525,
          "levelRatio": 2.4237288135593222,
          "ratioTracksAxis": true,
          "supportsDisjoint": false,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": false,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": 0.2525,
        "verdict": "pooled-disclosed"
      },
      {
        "id": "9/medianLatency/H2",
        "where": "§9",
        "quantity": "median latency to the last book protected, arm H2",
        "unit": "seconds · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "median",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "The single 'how fast is this arm' number the secondaries table is read for.",
          "readerWarning": "At one book this is the time to protect the only book; at three it is the time to protect the LAST of three under the round-robin, which is a different quantity as well as a larger one. Both are printed per level."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 59,
              "min": 46.859077754896134,
              "median": 336.3999742566466,
              "max": 2315.2697002794594,
              "value": 336.3999742566466
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "n": 40,
              "min": 133.65398145234212,
              "median": 454.07553874376663,
              "max": 1653.9350448804762,
              "value": 454.07553874376663
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": 3,
          "pooledValue": 436.5140900479855,
          "levelRatio": 1.3498084824386547,
          "ratioTracksAxis": false,
          "supportsDisjoint": false,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": false,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": 436.5140900479855,
        "verdict": "pooled-disclosed"
      },
      {
        "id": "3.1/medianReturn/H3",
        "where": "§3.1",
        "quantity": "median E(T)/E(0) - 1, arm H3",
        "unit": "fraction of opening equity · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "median",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "why": "Each run's outcome is divided by THAT run's own opening equity before the median is taken, so a one-book and a three-book path enter on one scale."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 400,
              "min": -0.6367531838620821,
              "median": -0.49562129762667023,
              "max": 0.013964306604043592,
              "value": -0.49562129762667023
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "n": 400,
              "min": -0.636221495216065,
              "median": -0.4917081852523918,
              "max": -0.17158499753098744,
              "value": -0.4917081852523918
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": 3,
          "pooledValue": -0.4933426031468879,
          "levelRatio": 0.992104632321055,
          "ratioTracksAxis": false,
          "supportsDisjoint": false,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": true,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": -0.4933426031468879,
        "verdict": "scale-free"
      },
      {
        "id": "3.1/cvar5Return/H3",
        "where": "§3.1",
        "quantity": "CVaR(5%) of E(T)/E(0) - 1, arm H3",
        "unit": "fraction of opening equity · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "CVaR(5%)",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "why": "The tail is SELECTED on the return, not on numeraire, so a three-book path can enter it. Selecting it in N is defect 1 and this declaration is what refuses it."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 400,
              "min": -0.6367531838620821,
              "median": -0.49562129762667023,
              "max": 0.013964306604043592,
              "value": -0.6355332352929846
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "n": 400,
              "min": -0.636221495216065,
              "median": -0.4917081852523918,
              "max": -0.17158499753098744,
              "value": -0.6356283492350532
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": 3,
          "pooledValue": -0.6356030766165964,
          "levelRatio": 1.0001496600599098,
          "ratioTracksAxis": false,
          "supportsDisjoint": false,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": true,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": -0.6356030766165964,
        "verdict": "scale-free"
      },
      {
        "id": "9/meanTx/H3",
        "where": "§9",
        "quantity": "mean transactions per run, arm H3",
        "unit": "transactions · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "mean",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "Same quantity as the protect count on every arm here, and it is what the gas line is multiplied by.",
          "readerWarning": "Support 0..1 at one book and 0..3 at three. The pooled mean describes neither level; the per-level means are printed beside it."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 400,
              "min": 0,
              "median": 0,
              "max": 1,
              "value": 0.155
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "n": 400,
              "min": 0,
              "median": 0,
              "max": 3,
              "value": 0.4025
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": 3,
          "pooledValue": 0.27875,
          "levelRatio": 2.5967741935483875,
          "ratioTracksAxis": true,
          "supportsDisjoint": false,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": false,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": 0.27875,
        "verdict": "pooled-disclosed"
      },
      {
        "id": "9/meanProtects/H3",
        "where": "§9",
        "quantity": "mean protects per run, arm H3",
        "unit": "protects · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "mean",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "It is the keeper's whole workload per run, and the gas bound is charged against it, so the pooled figure is the one the cost table needs.",
          "readerWarning": "The support is 0..1 protects on a one-book run and 0..3 on a three-book one, so this pooled mean is set by how many cells hold three books as much as by how the arm behaves. §9 prints it per book level beside this."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 400,
              "min": 0,
              "median": 0,
              "max": 1,
              "value": 0.155
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "n": 400,
              "min": 0,
              "median": 0,
              "max": 3,
              "value": 0.4025
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": 3,
          "pooledValue": 0.27875,
          "levelRatio": 2.5967741935483875,
          "ratioTracksAxis": true,
          "supportsDisjoint": false,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": false,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": 0.27875,
        "verdict": "pooled-disclosed"
      },
      {
        "id": "9/medianLatency/H3",
        "where": "§9",
        "quantity": "median latency to the last book protected, arm H3",
        "unit": "seconds · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "median",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "The single 'how fast is this arm' number the secondaries table is read for.",
          "readerWarning": "At one book this is the time to protect the only book; at three it is the time to protect the LAST of three under the round-robin, which is a different quantity as well as a larger one. Both are printed per level."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 62,
              "min": 41.616874751169235,
              "median": 241.6683239570457,
              "max": 7868.061931083423,
              "value": 241.6683239570457
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "n": 47,
              "min": 129.91488058073446,
              "median": 497.455976761481,
              "max": 9548.59152327673,
              "value": 497.455976761481
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": 3,
          "pooledValue": 405.8550689874519,
          "levelRatio": 2.0584244083635026,
          "ratioTracksAxis": false,
          "supportsDisjoint": false,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": false,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": 405.8550689874519,
        "verdict": "pooled-disclosed"
      },
      {
        "id": "3.1/medianReturn/P",
        "where": "§3.1",
        "quantity": "median E(T)/E(0) - 1, arm P",
        "unit": "fraction of opening equity · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "median",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "why": "Each run's outcome is divided by THAT run's own opening equity before the median is taken, so a one-book and a three-book path enter on one scale."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 400,
              "min": -0.6367531838620821,
              "median": -0.4956458930851439,
              "max": 0.013964306604043592,
              "value": -0.4956458930851439
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "n": 400,
              "min": -0.636221495216065,
              "median": -0.49198079912477477,
              "max": -0.17158499753098744,
              "value": -0.49198079912477477
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": 3,
          "pooledValue": -0.49364739826525544,
          "levelRatio": 0.9926054184822237,
          "ratioTracksAxis": false,
          "supportsDisjoint": false,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": true,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": -0.49364739826525544,
        "verdict": "scale-free"
      },
      {
        "id": "3.1/cvar5Return/P",
        "where": "§3.1",
        "quantity": "CVaR(5%) of E(T)/E(0) - 1, arm P",
        "unit": "fraction of opening equity · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "CVaR(5%)",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "why": "The tail is SELECTED on the return, not on numeraire, so a three-book path can enter it. Selecting it in N is defect 1 and this declaration is what refuses it."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 400,
              "min": -0.6367531838620821,
              "median": -0.4956458930851439,
              "max": 0.013964306604043592,
              "value": -0.6355332352929846
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "n": 400,
              "min": -0.636221495216065,
              "median": -0.49198079912477477,
              "max": -0.17158499753098744,
              "value": -0.6356283492350532
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": 3,
          "pooledValue": -0.6356030766165964,
          "levelRatio": 1.0001496600599098,
          "ratioTracksAxis": false,
          "supportsDisjoint": false,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": true,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": -0.6356030766165964,
        "verdict": "scale-free"
      },
      {
        "id": "9/meanTx/P",
        "where": "§9",
        "quantity": "mean transactions per run, arm P",
        "unit": "transactions · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "mean",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "Same quantity as the protect count on every arm here, and it is what the gas line is multiplied by.",
          "readerWarning": "Support 0..1 at one book and 0..3 at three. The pooled mean describes neither level; the per-level means are printed beside it."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 400,
              "min": 0,
              "median": 0,
              "max": 0,
              "value": 0
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "n": 400,
              "min": 0,
              "median": 0,
              "max": 0,
              "value": 0
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": 3,
          "pooledValue": 0,
          "levelRatio": null,
          "ratioTracksAxis": false,
          "supportsDisjoint": false,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": true,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": 0,
        "verdict": "pooled-disclosed"
      },
      {
        "id": "9/meanProtects/P",
        "where": "§9",
        "quantity": "mean protects per run, arm P",
        "unit": "protects · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "mean",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "It is the keeper's whole workload per run, and the gas bound is charged against it, so the pooled figure is the one the cost table needs.",
          "readerWarning": "The support is 0..1 protects on a one-book run and 0..3 on a three-book one, so this pooled mean is set by how many cells hold three books as much as by how the arm behaves. §9 prints it per book level beside this."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 400,
              "min": 0,
              "median": 0,
              "max": 0,
              "value": 0
            },
            {
              "books": 3,
              "n": 400,
              "min": 0,
              "median": 0,
              "max": 0,
              "value": 0
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": 3,
          "pooledValue": 0,
          "levelRatio": null,
          "ratioTracksAxis": false,
          "supportsDisjoint": false,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": true,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": 0,
        "verdict": "pooled-disclosed"
      },
      {
        "id": "5.4/perCell/grind-work-b1/median",
        "where": "§5.4",
        "quantity": "median paired gap A - H2, grind-work-b1",
        "unit": "fraction of opening equity · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "median",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "within-level",
          "why": "Cell grind-work-b1 is 1 book and nothing else, so this reduction never sees the axis. The 16 cells are the DECOMPOSITION of C1, whose own pooled interval is declared scale-free on the endpoint instead; these are exploratory and carry no correction."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 50,
              "min": 4.6723151654688855e-7,
              "median": 0.000005300829723190798,
              "max": 0.012770758958789158,
              "value": 0.000005300829723190798
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": null,
          "pooledValue": 0.000005300829723190798,
          "levelRatio": null,
          "ratioTracksAxis": false,
          "supportsDisjoint": false,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": true,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": 0.000005300829723190798,
        "verdict": "within-level"
      },
      {
        "id": "5.4/perCell/grind-work-b1/ci95lo",
        "where": "§5.4",
        "quantity": "lower 95% bootstrap bound on the median paired gap, grind-work-b1",
        "unit": "fraction of opening equity · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "BCa bootstrap endpoint, 10000 resamples, seed 91000",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "within-level",
          "why": "Cell grind-work-b1 is 1 book and nothing else, so this reduction never sees the axis. The 16 cells are the DECOMPOSITION of C1, whose own pooled interval is declared scale-free on the endpoint instead; these are exploratory and carry no correction."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 50,
              "min": 4.6723151654688855e-7,
              "median": 0.000005300829723190798,
              "max": 0.012770758958789158,
              "value": 0.000003614988836909271
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": null,
          "pooledValue": 0.000003614988836909271,
          "levelRatio": null,
          "ratioTracksAxis": false,
          "supportsDisjoint": false,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": true,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": 0.000003614988836909271,
        "verdict": "within-level"
      },
      {
        "id": "5.4/perCell/grind-work-b1/ci95hi",
        "where": "§5.4",
        "quantity": "upper 95% bootstrap bound on the median paired gap, grind-work-b1",
        "unit": "fraction of opening equity · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "BCa bootstrap endpoint, 10000 resamples, seed 91000",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "within-level",
          "why": "Cell grind-work-b1 is 1 book and nothing else, so this reduction never sees the axis. The 16 cells are the DECOMPOSITION of C1, whose own pooled interval is declared scale-free on the endpoint instead; these are exploratory and carry no correction."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 50,
              "min": 4.6723151654688855e-7,
              "median": 0.000005300829723190798,
              "max": 0.012770758958789158,
              "value": 0.000009648691746521775
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": null,
          "pooledValue": 0.000009648691746521775,
          "levelRatio": null,
          "ratioTracksAxis": false,
          "supportsDisjoint": false,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": true,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
        "value": 0.000009648691746521775,
        "verdict": "within-level"
      },
      {
        "id": "5.4/perCell/grind-work-b1/ci50lo",
        "where": "§5.4",
        "quantity": "lower 50% bootstrap bound on the median paired gap, grind-work-b1",
        "unit": "fraction of opening equity · per arm-path",
        "reduction": "BCa bootstrap endpoint, 10000 resamples, seed 91000",
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "within-level",
          "why": "Cell grind-work-b1 is 1 book and nothing else, so this reduction never sees the axis. The 16 cells are the DECOMPOSITION of C1, whose own pooled interval is declared scale-free on the endpoint instead; these are exploratory and carry no correction."
        },
        "evidence": {
          "levels": [
            {
              "books": 1,
              "n": 50,
              "min": 4.6723151654688855e-7,
              "median": 0.000005300829723190798,
              "max": 0.012770758958789158,
              "value": 0.000004959618229599844
            }
          ],
          "booksRatio": null,
          "pooledValue": 0.000004959618229599844,
          "levelRatio": null,
          "ratioTracksAxis": false,
          "supportsDisjoint": false,
          "pooledIsOneLevel": false,
          "pooledNearALevel": true,
          "pooledInEmptyBand": false
        },
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      {
        "builder": "armSummary",
        "prints": "§3.1 pooled per-arm table, §4's survival rates, §9's per-run counts",
        "unitOfAnalysis": "arm-path",
        "nLeaves": 36
      },
      {
        "builder": "gasBound",
        "prints": "§9's gas table",
        "unitOfAnalysis": "arm-path",
        "nLeaves": 16
      },
      {
        "builder": "pairedAvsH2",
        "prints": "§5's C1 and C1b, and every per-cell gap",
        "unitOfAnalysis": "arm-path",
        "nLeaves": 5
      },
      {
        "builder": "supersededArmPath",
        "prints": "nothing — the superseded estimators, recomputed so the census can be seen to catch them",
        "unitOfAnalysis": "arm-path",
        "nLeaves": 3
      },
      {
        "builder": "agentDelay",
        "prints": "§9's 'arm A's realised delay against its model' table",
        "unitOfAnalysis": "book-record",
        "nLeaves": 42
      },
      {
        "builder": "survivalSemantics",
        "prints": "§4.3, what 'did not survive' means",
        "unitOfAnalysis": "book-record",
        "nLeaves": 27
      },
      {
        "builder": "avoidedSeizure",
        "prints": "§5.3's decomposition of the effect",
        "unitOfAnalysis": "book-record",
        "nLeaves": 125
      },
      {
        "builder": "supersededBook",
        "prints": "nothing — the superseded book-level estimators, recomputed for the same reason",
        "unitOfAnalysis": "book-record",
        "nLeaves": 4
      }
    ],
    "nLeavesSwept": 251,
    "nAxisSensitive": 37,
    "nDeclared": 37,
    "nUndeclared": 0,
    "nContradicted": 0,
    "byClass": [
      {
        "klass": "additive-count",
        "n": 22,
        "meaning": "the pooled value is the SUM of the level values, which is what a total is. Harmless unless the counts themselves sit on the books ratio, in which case the population being counted is books and the field is likely named for runs"
      },
      {
        "klass": "extremum-of-one-level",
        "n": 7,
        "meaning": "a pooled maximum is the larger of the two level maxima by arithmetic, not by defect. Flagged only when the levels are far enough apart that the pooled extremum is really one level's"
      },
      {
        "klass": "level-invariant",
        "n": 36,
        "meaning": "the one-book and three-book values agree — the axis does not touch this number"
      },
      {
        "klass": "level-varying",
        "n": 13,
        "meaning": "the levels differ, but not on the axis ratio and the pooled value stays near one of them — an effect that varies, not a scale that does"
      },
      {
        "klass": "pooled-names-neither",
        "n": 11,
        "meaning": "the levels differ and the pooled value is near neither — it describes no level. A mixture, which may be legitimate, but not silently"
      },
      {
        "klass": "tracks-the-axis",
        "n": 4,
        "meaning": "the two levels sit on the books ratio — the magnitude is denominated in the Books axis"
      },
      {
        "klass": "within-level-confirmed",
        "n": 158,
        "meaning": "the leaf exists at one level only and the pooled build reproduces it exactly — it is already a within-level figure"
      }
    ],
    "rows": [
      {
        "builder": "armSummary",
        "path": "bookSurvivalRate",
        "pooled": 0.791875,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 0.865
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 0.7675
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 0.8872832369942196,
        "klass": "pooled-names-neither",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "why": "A fraction of BOOKS: the denominator grows with the axis exactly as the numerator does, so a one-book and a three-book run enter it on one scale. It is the survival quantity section 4 calls the only one comparable across the axis.",
          "mixtureDisclosed": "Section 4's opening paragraph and section 6.1, which print the rate per book level and read the two against each other rather than off the pooled figure. The pooled rate still weights three-book cells three times as heavily, because it counts books."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the levels differ and the pooled value is near neither — it describes no level. A mixture, which may be legitimate, but not silently"
      },
      {
        "builder": "armSummary",
        "path": "meanProtectCount",
        "pooled": 1.58375,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 0.865
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 2.3025
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 2.661849710982659,
        "klass": "tracks-the-axis",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "It is the keeper's whole workload per run, and the gas bound is charged against it, so the pooled figure is the one the cost table needs.",
          "readerWarning": "The support is 0..1 protects on a one-book run and 0..3 on a three-book one, so this pooled mean is set by how many cells hold three books as much as by how the arm behaves. §9 prints it per book level beside this."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the two levels sit on the books ratio — the magnitude is denominated in the Books axis"
      },
      {
        "builder": "armSummary",
        "path": "meanTerminalEquity",
        "pooled": 1645.5149915476345,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 852.3287947149405
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 2438.701188380327
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 2.8612211666460774,
        "klass": "tracks-the-axis",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "Printed beside the pooled median for the same reason: it is the raw quantity.",
          "readerWarning": "A mean over a two-cluster mixture whose clusters are three times apart. It describes neither level."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the two levels sit on the books ratio — the magnitude is denominated in the Books axis"
      },
      {
        "builder": "armSummary",
        "path": "meanTxCount",
        "pooled": 1.58375,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 0.865
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 2.3025
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 2.661849710982659,
        "klass": "tracks-the-axis",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "Same quantity as the protect count on every arm here, and it is what the gas line is multiplied by.",
          "readerWarning": "Support 0..1 at one book and 0..3 at three. The pooled mean describes neither level; the per-level means are printed beside it."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the two levels sit on the books ratio — the magnitude is denominated in the Books axis"
      },
      {
        "builder": "armSummary",
        "path": "medianLatencySec",
        "pooled": 13.976977257058024,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 12.059527726611122
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 18.00858429260552
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 1.4933075905507418,
        "klass": "pooled-names-neither",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "The single 'how fast is this arm' number the secondaries table is read for.",
          "readerWarning": "At one book this is the time to protect the only book; at three it is the time to protect the LAST of three under the round-robin, which is a different quantity as well as a larger one. Both are printed per level."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the levels differ and the pooled value is near neither — it describes no level. A mixture, which may be legitimate, but not silently"
      },
      {
        "builder": "armSummary",
        "path": "medianTerminalEquity",
        "pooled": 1559.662523169629,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 776.2160411315195
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 2335.36512126204
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 3.0086535159176684,
        "klass": "tracks-the-axis",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "It is the raw primary in the unit the ledger keeps it in, and suppressing the raw quantity would be a worse failure than printing it with its caveat.",
          "readerWarning": "The one-book and three-book clusters of terminal equity do not overlap, so this pooled median falls in the empty band between them and is a value no run in the study has. Read the scale-free columns instead.",
          "namesNoRecord": true
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the two levels sit on the books ratio — the magnitude is denominated in the Books axis"
      },
      {
        "builder": "armSummary",
        "path": "portfolioSurvivalRate",
        "pooled": 0.71625,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 0.865
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 0.5675
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 0.6560693641618497,
        "klass": "pooled-names-neither",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "why": "A fraction of RUNS — one run, one observation, at either level.",
          "mixtureDisclosed": "Section 4's opening paragraph, which says in as many words that portfolio survival is harsher at three books by construction because every book has to come through, and section 6.1, which prints it per level. The pooled figure mixes a 1-of-1 event with a 3-of-3 one."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the levels differ and the pooled value is near neither — it describes no level. A mixture, which may be legitimate, but not silently"
      },
      {
        "builder": "gasBound",
        "path": "maxGasLineN",
        "pooled": 0.02253,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 0.00751
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 0.02253
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 3,
        "klass": "extremum-of-one-level",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "Same worst-case bound, in numeraire.",
          "readerWarning": "The largest line is a three-book line, being three transactions. Its bps figure is against a three-book opening equity."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "a pooled maximum is the larger of the two level maxima by arithmetic, not by defect. Flagged only when the levels are far enough apart that the pooled extremum is really one level's"
      },
      {
        "builder": "gasBound",
        "path": "maxMarkErrorN",
        "pooled": 0.012383553577563792,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 0.00415789607415451
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 0.012383553577563792
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 2.9783220544015,
        "klass": "extremum-of-one-level",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "Same worst-case bound; this is the quantity the gas compromise is actually about.",
          "readerWarning": "Also a three-book maximum, and its bps figure is against that path's own opening equity."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "a pooled maximum is the larger of the two level maxima by arithmetic, not by defect. Flagged only when the levels are far enough apart that the pooled extremum is really one level's"
      },
      {
        "builder": "gasBound",
        "path": "maxTxCountOnAnyRun",
        "pooled": 3,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 1
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 3
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 3,
        "klass": "extremum-of-one-level",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "The bound is a WORST CASE over the whole run, and a worst case that had been taken within a level would not bound the study.",
          "readerWarning": "It is 1 at one book and 3 at three: this maximum is the three-book maximum and says so. Every fraction printed beside it is against that run's own opening equity."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "a pooled maximum is the larger of the two level maxima by arithmetic, not by defect. Flagged only when the levels are far enough apart that the pooled extremum is really one level's"
      },
      {
        "builder": "gasBound",
        "path": "nGasEvents",
        "pooled": 2758,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 801
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 1957
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 2.4431960049937578,
        "klass": "additive-count",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "A count of the whole run, used to say how much gas the study charged in total.",
          "readerWarning": "A total, not a rate. Three-book runs contribute up to three events each."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the pooled value is the SUM of the level values, which is what a total is. Harmless unless the counts themselves sit on the books ratio, in which case the population being counted is books and the field is likely named for runs"
      },
      {
        "builder": "pairedAvsH2",
        "path": "cvarGapFractionOfOpening",
        "pooled": 0.0029943380059277436,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 0.000939588738611441
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 0.009130849174866618
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 9.717921043158228,
        "klass": "pooled-names-neither",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "why": "C1b's endpoint after defect 1: the tail is SELECTED on each path's own return, so a three-book path can enter it. Selecting it in absolute numeraire is the defect this declaration exists to make unwritable.",
          "mixtureDisclosed": "Section 5.1's per-book-level table, which prints the tail gap at one book and at three separately and says in its own paragraph that the two levels do not agree and that the disagreement is the finding the old number hid. The tail gap is nearly ten times larger at three books than at one."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the levels differ and the pooled value is near neither — it describes no level. A mixture, which may be legitimate, but not silently"
      },
      {
        "builder": "pairedAvsH2",
        "path": "meanGapFractionOfOpening",
        "pooled": 0.0808626530045131,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 0.09362893471125994
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 0.0680963712977661
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 0.7273005028602205,
        "klass": "pooled-names-neither",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "why": "The same endpoint as C1's, reduced by mean instead of median. The axis divides out of the unit identically.",
          "mixtureDisclosed": "Sections 5.5 and 6.2, as for the median. The mean sits further from either level's mean than the median does, because the tail is heavier at one book."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the levels differ and the pooled value is near neither — it describes no level. A mixture, which may be legitimate, but not silently"
      },
      {
        "builder": "pairedAvsH2",
        "path": "medianGapFractionOfOpening",
        "pooled": 0.015535402229657668,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 0.014593544465745787
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 0.015982599441472994
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 1.0951828377943151,
        "klass": "pooled-names-neither",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "why": "C1's own endpoint. Each pair's gap is divided by THAT path's opening equity before the median is taken, so the axis divides out of the unit and a one-book and a three-book pair are on one scale. This is the property the whole primary rests on, and it is why C1 was untouched by every correction in section 0.",
          "mixtureDisclosed": "Section 5.5, which says the pooled median is a mixture and offers the fraction of paths on which protection binds as the honest headline, and section 6.2, which prints the gap per book level. The unit pools legitimately; the EFFECT still differs by level, and the report says so where it prints the number."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the levels differ and the pooled value is near neither — it describes no level. A mixture, which may be legitimate, but not silently"
      },
      {
        "builder": "agentDelay",
        "path": "nRecords",
        "pooled": 1600,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 400
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 1200
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 3,
        "klass": "additive-count",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "How many records the delay band was measured over, printed so the band has a stated n.",
          "readerWarning": "BOOK records, not runs: arm A has 1,600 of them against 800 arm-paths, because a three-book run contributes three. Printing this as a count of runs, beside a band pooled over three round-robin offsets, is the sibling defect section 0 records as number 4."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the pooled value is the SUM of the level values, which is what a total is. Harmless unless the counts themselves sit on the books ratio, in which case the population being counted is books and the field is likely named for runs"
      },
      {
        "builder": "agentDelay",
        "path": "nUncensored",
        "pooled": 1267,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 346
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 921
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 2.661849710982659,
        "klass": "additive-count",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "The n the observed band is actually computed over, after censoring.",
          "readerWarning": "Book records again, on the same weighting. The per-book-index table beside it splits this count three ways."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the pooled value is the SUM of the level values, which is what a total is. Harmless unless the counts themselves sit on the books ratio, in which case the population being counted is books and the field is likely named for runs"
      },
      {
        "builder": "agentDelay",
        "path": "observedMaxSec",
        "pooled": 20.98549790494144,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 14.992975054308772
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 20.98549790494144
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 1.399688709474008,
        "klass": "extremum-of-one-level",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "The envelope of the whole keeper: the latest any book was protected anywhere in the study.",
          "readerWarning": "It is book 2 under the round-robin, two blocks behind book 0, and it is inside book 2's own model band. Compare it against the POOLED model band, never against book 0's 9-15 s."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "a pooled maximum is the larger of the two level maxima by arithmetic, not by defect. Flagged only when the levels are far enough apart that the pooled extremum is really one level's"
      },
      {
        "builder": "agentDelay",
        "path": "observedMedianSec",
        "pooled": 13.694664153736085,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 12.059527726611122
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 14.584244454279542
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 1.2093545273831297,
        "klass": "pooled-names-neither",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "The middle book record of the whole keeper's work.",
          "readerWarning": "Pooled over three book indices whose bands are 9-15, 12-18 and 15-21 s. The per-index medians are printed beside it and each sits inside its own band."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the levels differ and the pooled value is near neither — it describes no level. A mixture, which may be legitimate, but not silently"
      },
      {
        "builder": "agentDelay",
        "path": "pooledModelMaxSec",
        "pooled": 21,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 15
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 21
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 1.4,
        "klass": "extremum-of-one-level",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "The pooled band's ceiling, printed so the pooled observation has something legitimate to be read against.",
          "readerWarning": "It is book 0's ceiling plus the round-robin offset of the last book, and it exists only at three books."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "a pooled maximum is the larger of the two level maxima by arithmetic, not by defect. Flagged only when the levels are far enough apart that the pooled extremum is really one level's"
      },
      {
        "builder": "survivalSemantics",
        "path": "nSeizedRecords",
        "pooled": 5066,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 1160
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 3906
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 3.367241379310345,
        "klass": "additive-count",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "How many book records were seized at all, the denominator §4.3's semantics are stated over.",
          "readerWarning": "Book records, not arm-paths: a three-book run contributes up to three."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the pooled value is the SUM of the level values, which is what a total is. Harmless unless the counts themselves sit on the books ratio, in which case the population being counted is books and the field is likely named for runs"
      },
      {
        "builder": "survivalSemantics",
        "path": "nStillLevered",
        "pooled": 1975,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 479
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 1496
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 3.1231732776617953,
        "klass": "additive-count",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "The numerator of the same statement.",
          "readerWarning": "Book records, on the same weighting as the denominator it is read against."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the pooled value is the SUM of the level values, which is what a total is. Harmless unless the counts themselves sit on the books ratio, in which case the population being counted is books and the field is likely named for runs"
      },
      {
        "builder": "survivalSemantics",
        "path": "perShock[shock=crash].nSeizedRecords",
        "pooled": 1106,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 264
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 842
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 3.1893939393939394,
        "klass": "additive-count",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "The same count, per shock, which is where the table in section 4.3 reads it.",
          "readerWarning": "Book records per shock. The three-book cells contribute three per path, so these counts run about three times the one-book ones for that reason alone. The field is named for RECORDS rather than runs, and it was renamed from nSeizedRuns because the unit lint in scale.ts caught the mislabel — the same class as the gas table's."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the pooled value is the SUM of the level values, which is what a total is. Harmless unless the counts themselves sit on the books ratio, in which case the population being counted is books and the field is likely named for runs"
      },
      {
        "builder": "survivalSemantics",
        "path": "perShock[shock=crash].nStillLevered",
        "pooled": 1106,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 264
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 842
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 3.1893939393939394,
        "klass": "additive-count",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "The per-shock split of the still-levered count printed beside it.",
          "readerWarning": "Book records, weighted by the axis exactly as the seized count above it is."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the pooled value is the SUM of the level values, which is what a total is. Harmless unless the counts themselves sit on the books ratio, in which case the population being counted is books and the field is likely named for runs"
      },
      {
        "builder": "survivalSemantics",
        "path": "perShock[shock=grind].nSeizedRecords",
        "pooled": 869,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 215
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 654
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 3.041860465116279,
        "klass": "additive-count",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "The same count, per shock, which is where the table in section 4.3 reads it.",
          "readerWarning": "Book records per shock. The three-book cells contribute three per path, so these counts run about three times the one-book ones for that reason alone. The field is named for RECORDS rather than runs, and it was renamed from nSeizedRuns because the unit lint in scale.ts caught the mislabel — the same class as the gas table's."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the pooled value is the SUM of the level values, which is what a total is. Harmless unless the counts themselves sit on the books ratio, in which case the population being counted is books and the field is likely named for runs"
      },
      {
        "builder": "survivalSemantics",
        "path": "perShock[shock=grind].nStillLevered",
        "pooled": 869,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 215
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 654
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 3.041860465116279,
        "klass": "additive-count",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "The per-shock split of the still-levered count printed beside it.",
          "readerWarning": "Book records, weighted by the axis exactly as the seized count above it is."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the pooled value is the SUM of the level values, which is what a total is. Harmless unless the counts themselves sit on the books ratio, in which case the population being counted is books and the field is likely named for runs"
      },
      {
        "builder": "survivalSemantics",
        "path": "perShock[shock=wick-1block].nFullyDeleveraged",
        "pooled": 1447,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 319
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 1128
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 3.5360501567398117,
        "klass": "additive-count",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "The complement, printed so the two columns sum to the first.",
          "readerWarning": "Book records, on the same weighting."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the pooled value is the SUM of the level values, which is what a total is. Harmless unless the counts themselves sit on the books ratio, in which case the population being counted is books and the field is likely named for runs"
      },
      {
        "builder": "survivalSemantics",
        "path": "perShock[shock=wick-1block].nSeizedRecords",
        "pooled": 1447,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 319
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 1128
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 3.5360501567398117,
        "klass": "additive-count",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "The same count, per shock, which is where the table in section 4.3 reads it.",
          "readerWarning": "Book records per shock. The three-book cells contribute three per path, so these counts run about three times the one-book ones for that reason alone. The field is named for RECORDS rather than runs, and it was renamed from nSeizedRuns because the unit lint in scale.ts caught the mislabel — the same class as the gas table's."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the pooled value is the SUM of the level values, which is what a total is. Harmless unless the counts themselves sit on the books ratio, in which case the population being counted is books and the field is likely named for runs"
      },
      {
        "builder": "survivalSemantics",
        "path": "perShock[shock=wick-persist].nFullyDeleveraged",
        "pooled": 1644,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 362
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 1282
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 3.541436464088398,
        "klass": "additive-count",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "The complement, printed so the two columns sum to the first.",
          "readerWarning": "Book records, on the same weighting."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the pooled value is the SUM of the level values, which is what a total is. Harmless unless the counts themselves sit on the books ratio, in which case the population being counted is books and the field is likely named for runs"
      },
      {
        "builder": "survivalSemantics",
        "path": "perShock[shock=wick-persist].nSeizedRecords",
        "pooled": 1644,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 362
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 1282
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 3.541436464088398,
        "klass": "additive-count",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "The same count, per shock, which is where the table in section 4.3 reads it.",
          "readerWarning": "Book records per shock. The three-book cells contribute three per path, so these counts run about three times the one-book ones for that reason alone. The field is named for RECORDS rather than runs, and it was renamed from nSeizedRuns because the unit lint in scale.ts caught the mislabel — the same class as the gas table's."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the pooled value is the SUM of the level values, which is what a total is. Harmless unless the counts themselves sit on the books ratio, in which case the population being counted is books and the field is likely named for runs"
      },
      {
        "builder": "avoidedSeizure",
        "path": "maxOverstatementFactor",
        "pooled": 6.464619478540144,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 4.128582044582031
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 6.464619478540144
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 1.5658207609132322,
        "klass": "extremum-of-one-level",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "A worst case over the whole study — the largest factor by which the liquidationPenalty memo overstates what a seizure cost terminal equity.",
          "readerWarning": "The maximum is a three-book book-pair. A worst case taken within a level would not bound the study, which is why it is pooled."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "a pooled maximum is the larger of the two level maxima by arithmetic, not by defect. Flagged only when the levels are far enough apart that the pooled extremum is really one level's"
      },
      {
        "builder": "avoidedSeizure",
        "path": "medianGapFractionOfOpening",
        "pooled": 0.019518730975577395,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 0.024022042852890793
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 0.018657935374159267
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 0.7767006115349588,
        "klass": "pooled-names-neither",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "why": "A book-level paired gap against one book's opening equity — homogeneous across the axis for the same reason.",
          "mixtureDisclosed": "Section 5.3.1, and section 5.4's per-cell table, which is the portfolio-level answer to the same question and legitimately disagrees with it."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the levels differ and the pooled value is near neither — it describes no level. A mixture, which may be legitimate, but not silently"
      },
      {
        "builder": "avoidedSeizure",
        "path": "medianRatioTrueOverMemo",
        "pooled": 0.8773764993681217,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 0.9409223421778217
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 0.8569698061842319
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 0.9107763390979998,
        "klass": "pooled-names-neither",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "why": "A ratio of two numeraire quantities: the unit cancels entirely, at either level.",
          "mixtureDisclosed": "Section 5.3.1. The ratio is lower at three books because the later books are seized further into the path, where the price has moved more."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the levels differ and the pooled value is near neither — it describes no level. A mixture, which may be legitimate, but not silently"
      },
      {
        "builder": "avoidedSeizure",
        "path": "medianTerminalCostFractionOfOpening",
        "pooled": 0.01968872338031761,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 0.02419177704337784
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 0.01882752016557645
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 0.7782611476543109,
        "klass": "pooled-names-neither",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "why": "The same cost against one book's opening equity, which is the same number at both levels.",
          "mixtureDisclosed": "Section 5.3.1, as above."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the levels differ and the pooled value is near neither — it describes no level. A mixture, which may be legitimate, but not silently"
      },
      {
        "builder": "avoidedSeizure",
        "path": "medianTerminalCostN",
        "pooled": 29.104891797553364,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 35.76153921396042
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 27.831816550541475
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 0.7782611476543109,
        "klass": "pooled-names-neither",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "scale-free",
          "why": "Book records, and every book in the study opens at the same 1,478.25 N, so N is homogeneous here and the axis does not set the scale. It is a per-BOOK cost at both levels.",
          "mixtureDisclosed": "Section 5.3.1, a whole subsection warning that everything in 5.3 is computed book by book while 5.4 is computed portfolio by portfolio. The per-book cost is genuinely lower at three books — the keeper reaches book 2 two blocks late — and that is an effect, not a unit."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the levels differ and the pooled value is near neither — it describes no level. A mixture, which may be legitimate, but not silently"
      },
      {
        "builder": "avoidedSeizure",
        "path": "minRatioTrueOverMemo",
        "pooled": 0.15468814573225623,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 0.24221391005473838
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 0.15468814573225623
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 0.6386427009798816,
        "klass": "extremum-of-one-level",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "The other end of the same bound, and the end that shows the ratio crossing 1.",
          "readerWarning": "Also a three-book book-pair, for the same reason."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "a pooled maximum is the larger of the two level maxima by arithmetic, not by defect. Flagged only when the levels are far enough apart that the pooled extremum is really one level's"
      },
      {
        "builder": "avoidedSeizure",
        "path": "nPairs",
        "pooled": 1015,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 274
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 741
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 2.704379562043796,
        "klass": "additive-count",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "A count of the book pairs on which the mechanism fired, over the whole study.",
          "readerWarning": "Three-book cells contribute three book records per path, so this count is weighted by the axis. The per-book amounts beside it are not."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the pooled value is the SUM of the level values, which is what a total is. Harmless unless the counts themselves sit on the books ratio, in which case the population being counted is books and the field is likely named for runs"
      },
      {
        "builder": "avoidedSeizure",
        "path": "nPairsTotal",
        "pooled": 1600,
        "atLevel": [
          {
            "books": 1,
            "value": 400
          },
          {
            "books": 3,
            "value": 1200
          }
        ],
        "ratio": 3,
        "klass": "additive-count",
        "needsDeclaration": true,
        "declaration": {
          "scale": "pooled-absolute",
          "why": "The denominator of the same count.",
          "readerWarning": "Same weighting: 400 book pairs at one book against 1,200 at three."
        },
        "status": "declared",
        "note": "the pooled value is the SUM of the level values, which is what a total is. Harmless unless the counts themselves sit on the books ratio, in which case the population being counted is books and the field is likely named for runs"
      }
    ],
    "unitLint": [],
    "supersededUnitLint": [
      {
        "builder": "supersededBook",
        "path": "maxTxCountOnAnyRun",
        "unitOfAnalysis": "book-record",
        "claimsUnit": "run / arm-path / portfolio",
        "detail": "`supersededBook.maxTxCountOnAnyRun` is named for a run / arm-path / portfolio but is computed over book-record records. Either feed it the unit its name claims, or rename the field to the unit it is."
      },
      {
        "builder": "supersededBook",
        "path": "nUncensoredRuns",
        "unitOfAnalysis": "book-record",
        "claimsUnit": "run / arm-path / portfolio",
        "detail": "`supersededBook.nUncensoredRuns` is named for a run / arm-path / portfolio but is computed over book-record records. Either feed it the unit its name claims, or rename the field to the unit it is."
      }
    ],
    "wouldHaveCaught": [
      {
        "id": "§0 defect 1",
        "defect": "C1b's CVaR(5%) tail, selected on terminal equity in absolute N over the pooled sample",
        "leaf": "supersededArmPath.cvar5TerminalEquityN",
        "oneBook": 540.1626186594304,
        "threeBooks": 1656.3922866219768,
        "pooled": 558.182853563888,
        "klass": "tracks-the-axis",
        "caughtBy": "the magnitude census — the two levels sit on the books ratio"
      },
      {
        "id": "§0.3, found by the first sweep",
        "defect": "§3.1's pooled CVaR(5%) column — the same estimator on the same sample",
        "leaf": "supersededArmPath.cvar5TerminalEquityN",
        "oneBook": 540.1626186594304,
        "threeBooks": 1656.3922866219768,
        "pooled": 558.182853563888,
        "klass": "tracks-the-axis",
        "caughtBy": "the magnitude census — the two levels sit on the books ratio"
      },
      {
        "id": "§0.3, found by the first sweep",
        "defect": "§3.1's pooled median terminal equity in N, which lands in the empty band between the clusters",
        "leaf": "supersededArmPath.medianTerminalEquityN",
        "oneBook": 776.2160411315195,
        "threeBooks": 2335.36512126204,
        "pooled": 1559.662523169629,
        "klass": "tracks-the-axis",
        "caughtBy": "the magnitude census — the two levels sit on the books ratio"
      },
      {
        "id": "§0 defect 3",
        "defect": "the gas table's transaction maximum, computed on book records and labelled arm-path",
        "leaf": "supersededBook.maxTxCountOnAnyRun",
        "oneBook": 1,
        "threeBooks": 1,
        "pooled": 1,
        "klass": "level-invariant",
        "caughtBy": "NOT the magnitude census (level-invariant); the unit-of-analysis lint, which reads the field's NAME against the records it was computed over"
      },
      {
        "id": "§0 defect 3, its count",
        "defect": "the same table's n, a count of book records under the name nUncensoredRuns",
        "leaf": "supersededBook.nUncensoredRuns",
        "oneBook": 346,
        "threeBooks": 921,
        "pooled": 1267,
        "klass": "additive-count",
        "caughtBy": "the magnitude census — a total whose per-level counts sit on the books ratio, so what is being counted is books"
      },
      {
        "id": "§0 defect 4",
        "defect": "§9's arm-A delay band, pooled over three round-robin offsets and printed against book 0's model band",
        "leaf": "supersededBook.observedDelayMaxSec",
        "oneBook": 14.992975054308772,
        "threeBooks": 20.98549790494144,
        "pooled": 20.98549790494144,
        "klass": "extremum-of-one-level",
        "caughtBy": "the magnitude census — the pooled extremum is one level's, and the levels are far enough apart that which one matters"
      },
      {
        "id": "§0 defect 4, its median",
        "defect": "the same table's observed median, pooled over the same three offsets",
        "leaf": "supersededBook.observedDelayMedianSec",
        "oneBook": 12.059527726611122,
        "threeBooks": 14.584244454279542,
        "pooled": 13.694664153736085,
        "klass": "pooled-names-neither",
        "caughtBy": "the magnitude census — the pooled value is near neither level"
      },
      {
        "id": "§0 defect 5",
        "defect": "§9's mean protects and transactions per run, pooled over levels whose support differs",
        "leaf": "supersededArmPath.meanTxPerRun",
        "oneBook": 0.865,
        "threeBooks": 2.3025,
        "pooled": 1.58375,
        "klass": "tracks-the-axis",
        "caughtBy": "the magnitude census — the two levels sit on the books ratio"
      }
    ],
    "blindSpots": [
      "IT SWEEPS THE BUILDERS IT IS GIVEN, and that is the largest hole left. Adding a STATISTIC to a summary the census already probes is caught automatically — the leaf appears and must be declared. Adding a whole new SUMMARY FUNCTION and printing it, without adding it to the probe list in `booksScaleAudit`, is not caught by anything. Forgetting a statistic is now impossible; forgetting a builder is merely harder.",
      "It sweeps the statistics the scoring layer COMPUTES. A number a renderer forms itself — a difference of two printed values, a percentage taken in a template — is not a leaf and is not swept.",
      "It compares the two levels this study ran. A quantity that is scale-free at 1 and 3 books and not at 10 would pass, and there is no 10-book level to catch it.",
      "It reads magnitudes, not meanings. Two levels can agree numerically while the quantity means different things on each — arm A's latency at three books is the time to the LAST book, and only the unit-of-analysis field says so.",
      "A leaf classified level-varying is reported and not blocked. That is deliberate — the Books axis is a real effect and its statistics are supposed to move — but it is the class a genuinely new defect would most easily hide in.",
      "It cannot see a defect in a number the report prints from a constant rather than from the records."
    ],
    "ok": true,
    "failures": []
  },
  "seeds": {
    "base": 1000,
    "block": "{1000…1799}",
    "pathsPerCell": 50,
    "perCell": [
      {
        "cellId": "grind-work-b1",
        "books": 1,
        "seeds": [
          1000,
          1001,
          1002,
          1003,
          1004,
          1005,
          1006,
          1007,
          1008,
          1009,
          1010,
          1011,
          1012,
          1013,
          1014,
          1015,
          1016,
          1017,
          1018,
          1019,
          1020,
          1021,
          1022,
          1023,
          1024,
          1025,
          1026,
          1027,
          1028,
          1029,
          1030,
          1031,
          1032,
          1033,
          1034,
          1035,
          1036,
          1037,
          1038,
          1039,
          1040,
          1041,
          1042,
          1043,
          1044,
          1045,
          1046,
          1047,
          1048,
          1049
        ]
      },
      {
        "cellId": "grind-work-b3",
        "books": 3,
        "seeds": [
          1050,
          1051,
          1052,
          1053,
          1054,
          1055,
          1056,
          1057,
          1058,
          1059,
          1060,
          1061,
          1062,
          1063,
          1064,
          1065,
          1066,
          1067,
          1068,
          1069,
          1070,
          1071,
          1072,
          1073,
          1074,
          1075,
          1076,
          1077,
          1078,
          1079,
          1080,
          1081,
          1082,
          1083,
          1084,
          1085,
          1086,
          1087,
          1088,
          1089,
          1090,
          1091,
          1092,
          1093,
          1094,
          1095,
          1096,
          1097,
          1098,
          1099
        ]
      },
      {
        "cellId": "grind-night-b1",
        "books": 1,
        "seeds": [
          1100,
          1101,
          1102,
          1103,
          1104,
          1105,
          1106,
          1107,
          1108,
          1109,
          1110,
          1111,
          1112,
          1113,
          1114,
          1115,
          1116,
          1117,
          1118,
          1119,
          1120,
          1121,
          1122,
          1123,
          1124,
          1125,
          1126,
          1127,
          1128,
          1129,
          1130,
          1131,
          1132,
          1133,
          1134,
          1135,
          1136,
          1137,
          1138,
          1139,
          1140,
          1141,
          1142,
          1143,
          1144,
          1145,
          1146,
          1147,
          1148,
          1149
        ]
      },
      {
        "cellId": "grind-night-b3",
        "books": 3,
        "seeds": [
          1150,
          1151,
          1152,
          1153,
          1154,
          1155,
          1156,
          1157,
          1158,
          1159,
          1160,
          1161,
          1162,
          1163,
          1164,
          1165,
          1166,
          1167,
          1168,
          1169,
          1170,
          1171,
          1172,
          1173,
          1174,
          1175,
          1176,
          1177,
          1178,
          1179,
          1180,
          1181,
          1182,
          1183,
          1184,
          1185,
          1186,
          1187,
          1188,
          1189,
          1190,
          1191,
          1192,
          1193,
          1194,
          1195,
          1196,
          1197,
          1198,
          1199
        ]
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-work-b1",
        "books": 1,
        "seeds": [
          1200,
          1201,
          1202,
          1203,
          1204,
          1205,
          1206,
          1207,
          1208,
          1209,
          1210,
          1211,
          1212,
          1213,
          1214,
          1215,
          1216,
          1217,
          1218,
          1219,
          1220,
          1221,
          1222,
          1223,
          1224,
          1225,
          1226,
          1227,
          1228,
          1229,
          1230,
          1231,
          1232,
          1233,
          1234,
          1235,
          1236,
          1237,
          1238,
          1239,
          1240,
          1241,
          1242,
          1243,
          1244,
          1245,
          1246,
          1247,
          1248,
          1249
        ]
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-work-b3",
        "books": 3,
        "seeds": [
          1250,
          1251,
          1252,
          1253,
          1254,
          1255,
          1256,
          1257,
          1258,
          1259,
          1260,
          1261,
          1262,
          1263,
          1264,
          1265,
          1266,
          1267,
          1268,
          1269,
          1270,
          1271,
          1272,
          1273,
          1274,
          1275,
          1276,
          1277,
          1278,
          1279,
          1280,
          1281,
          1282,
          1283,
          1284,
          1285,
          1286,
          1287,
          1288,
          1289,
          1290,
          1291,
          1292,
          1293,
          1294,
          1295,
          1296,
          1297,
          1298,
          1299
        ]
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-night-b1",
        "books": 1,
        "seeds": [
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          1343,
          1344,
          1345,
          1346,
          1347,
          1348,
          1349
        ]
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-night-b3",
        "books": 3,
        "seeds": [
          1350,
          1351,
          1352,
          1353,
          1354,
          1355,
          1356,
          1357,
          1358,
          1359,
          1360,
          1361,
          1362,
          1363,
          1364,
          1365,
          1366,
          1367,
          1368,
          1369,
          1370,
          1371,
          1372,
          1373,
          1374,
          1375,
          1376,
          1377,
          1378,
          1379,
          1380,
          1381,
          1382,
          1383,
          1384,
          1385,
          1386,
          1387,
          1388,
          1389,
          1390,
          1391,
          1392,
          1393,
          1394,
          1395,
          1396,
          1397,
          1398,
          1399
        ]
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-work-b1",
        "books": 1,
        "seeds": [
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          1401,
          1402,
          1403,
          1404,
          1405,
          1406,
          1407,
          1408,
          1409,
          1410,
          1411,
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          1413,
          1414,
          1415,
          1416,
          1417,
          1418,
          1419,
          1420,
          1421,
          1422,
          1423,
          1424,
          1425,
          1426,
          1427,
          1428,
          1429,
          1430,
          1431,
          1432,
          1433,
          1434,
          1435,
          1436,
          1437,
          1438,
          1439,
          1440,
          1441,
          1442,
          1443,
          1444,
          1445,
          1446,
          1447,
          1448,
          1449
        ]
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-work-b3",
        "books": 3,
        "seeds": [
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          1451,
          1452,
          1453,
          1454,
          1455,
          1456,
          1457,
          1458,
          1459,
          1460,
          1461,
          1462,
          1463,
          1464,
          1465,
          1466,
          1467,
          1468,
          1469,
          1470,
          1471,
          1472,
          1473,
          1474,
          1475,
          1476,
          1477,
          1478,
          1479,
          1480,
          1481,
          1482,
          1483,
          1484,
          1485,
          1486,
          1487,
          1488,
          1489,
          1490,
          1491,
          1492,
          1493,
          1494,
          1495,
          1496,
          1497,
          1498,
          1499
        ]
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-night-b1",
        "books": 1,
        "seeds": [
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          1501,
          1502,
          1503,
          1504,
          1505,
          1506,
          1507,
          1508,
          1509,
          1510,
          1511,
          1512,
          1513,
          1514,
          1515,
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          1517,
          1518,
          1519,
          1520,
          1521,
          1522,
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          1531,
          1532,
          1533,
          1534,
          1535,
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          1537,
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          1540,
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          1544,
          1545,
          1546,
          1547,
          1548,
          1549
        ]
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-night-b3",
        "books": 3,
        "seeds": [
          1550,
          1551,
          1552,
          1553,
          1554,
          1555,
          1556,
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          1559,
          1560,
          1561,
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          1566,
          1567,
          1568,
          1569,
          1570,
          1571,
          1572,
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          1581,
          1582,
          1583,
          1584,
          1585,
          1586,
          1587,
          1588,
          1589,
          1590,
          1591,
          1592,
          1593,
          1594,
          1595,
          1596,
          1597,
          1598,
          1599
        ]
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-work-b1",
        "books": 1,
        "seeds": [
          1600,
          1601,
          1602,
          1603,
          1604,
          1605,
          1606,
          1607,
          1608,
          1609,
          1610,
          1611,
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          1613,
          1614,
          1615,
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          1617,
          1618,
          1619,
          1620,
          1621,
          1622,
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          1624,
          1625,
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          1627,
          1628,
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          1631,
          1632,
          1633,
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          1635,
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          1640,
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          1644,
          1645,
          1646,
          1647,
          1648,
          1649
        ]
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-work-b3",
        "books": 3,
        "seeds": [
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          1670,
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          1672,
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          1680,
          1681,
          1682,
          1683,
          1684,
          1685,
          1686,
          1687,
          1688,
          1689,
          1690,
          1691,
          1692,
          1693,
          1694,
          1695,
          1696,
          1697,
          1698,
          1699
        ]
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-night-b1",
        "books": 1,
        "seeds": [
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          1701,
          1702,
          1703,
          1704,
          1705,
          1706,
          1707,
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          1709,
          1710,
          1711,
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          1713,
          1714,
          1715,
          1716,
          1717,
          1718,
          1719,
          1720,
          1721,
          1722,
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          1744,
          1745,
          1746,
          1747,
          1748,
          1749
        ]
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-night-b3",
        "books": 3,
        "seeds": [
          1750,
          1751,
          1752,
          1753,
          1754,
          1755,
          1756,
          1757,
          1758,
          1759,
          1760,
          1761,
          1762,
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          1770,
          1771,
          1772,
          1773,
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          1775,
          1776,
          1777,
          1778,
          1779,
          1780,
          1781,
          1782,
          1783,
          1784,
          1785,
          1786,
          1787,
          1788,
          1789,
          1790,
          1791,
          1792,
          1793,
          1794,
          1795,
          1796,
          1797,
          1798,
          1799
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      }
    ],
    "bootstrapSeed": 90000,
    "bootstrapIters": 10000,
    "perCellBootstrapSeedBase": 91000,
    "perCellBootstrapSeeds": [
      {
        "cellId": "grind-work-b1",
        "seed": 91000
      },
      {
        "cellId": "grind-work-b3",
        "seed": 91001
      },
      {
        "cellId": "grind-night-b1",
        "seed": 91002
      },
      {
        "cellId": "grind-night-b3",
        "seed": 91003
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-work-b1",
        "seed": 91004
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-work-b3",
        "seed": 91005
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-night-b1",
        "seed": 91006
      },
      {
        "cellId": "crash-night-b3",
        "seed": 91007
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-work-b1",
        "seed": 91008
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-work-b3",
        "seed": 91009
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-night-b1",
        "seed": 91010
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-persist-night-b3",
        "seed": 91011
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-work-b1",
        "seed": 91012
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-work-b3",
        "seed": 91013
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-night-b1",
        "seed": 91014
      },
      {
        "cellId": "wick-1block-night-b3",
        "seed": 91015
      }
    ],
    "survivalBootstrapSeedBase": 92000,
    "rngScheme": "mulberry32 seeded by xmur3 over (schema, kind, ...parts). Exogenous streams exogenousRng(pathId, 'price') and exogenousRng(pathId, 'liquidator', book) exclude the ARM, so every arm faces the same market and the same three liquidators — that is the pairing. Arm streams armRng(pathId, arm, stream) include the arm and are keyed by NAME, so adding H1 and H3 perturbed no draw of A, H2 or P. Book 0's liquidator seed is the pre-Books seed unchanged.",
    "relationToPlan": "REPORT-PLAN §5 reserved {1000…1599} for a 12-cell design. The shock axis is four levels wide since wick-1block was added, so the crossed design is 16 cells and the block is {1000…1799}. Still strictly below T2's reserved {2000…2719}, and disjoint from the MVP's 90000 block."
  },
  "parameterContext": {
    "liquidationBonusBps": 500,
    "closeFactorBps": 5000,
    "closeFactorFullBelowHf": 0.95,
    "closeFactorRule": "5000 bps at or above HF 0.95; 10000 bps below it, read from the health factor at the moment of seizure",
    "venueProvenance": "LT 7000 bps from DeployTestnetV2.s.sol listReserve(wbnb, 700e8, 7000, 7500). Close factor and bonus PROVISIONAL — see comment; resolve at freeze into outputs/sim/venue-profiles.json.",
    "ltBps": 7000,
    "keeperFeeBps": 10,
    "gasCostPerTxN": 0.00751,
    "openingEquityPerBookN": 1478.2518518518523,
    "hf0": 1.35,
    "triggerHf": 1.15,
    "targetHf": 1.4,
    "agentRoundRobinSec": 3,
    "humanExtraBookSec": 45,
    "liquidator": {
      "medianSec": 15,
      "sigmaLn": 0.4,
      "label": "CALIBRATION-TARGET",
      "source": "inputs/T1-liquidation-factorial.md — LogNormal(median 15 s, sigma_ln 0.4). Testnet is not mainnet MEV."
    },
    "volDaily": {
      "value": 0.0242,
      "label": "ONCHAIN-56",
      "source": "agents/ranger-history.json realised vol, via CONFLICT-VERDICTS schedule verdict"
    },
    "modelGapsClosed": [
      {
        "where": "REPORT-PLAN §3.1 availability table",
        "gap": "Weekend rows cover 10:00–23:00 and 'weekend night = weekday night' (23:00–09:00). Weekend 09:00–10:00 is in neither row.",
        "decision": "weekend-day extended to 09:00–23:00, so the four buckets tile the day with no hole."
      },
      {
        "where": "REPORT-PLAN §6.4 shock table",
        "gap": "Gives shock duration but not total path horizon, so the terminal mark would land exactly on the last shock tick.",
        "decision": "Each scenario carries an explicit settle tail (SCENARIOS[*].pathDurationSec) so the terminal price is a settled price, identical for every arm."
      },
      {
        "where": "MockPoolV2",
        "gap": "The mock pool has no liquidation entry point and accrues no interest, so neither can be mirrored from the contract.",
        "decision": "Liquidation is modelled from VENUE_MVP (close factor, bonus); interest is modelled at borrowApr = 0, which is what MockPoolV2 actually does. The INTEREST event exists so the full run can switch it on without a schema change."
      }
    ],
    "note": "A repayment retires debt rather than destroying it, so one protect costs the keeper fee plus gas and nothing else. Almost the whole A-vs-H2 effect is therefore AVOIDED SEIZURE, and what a seizure is worth is NOT the liquidationPenalty memo (c_s*P_s - d_c) but its cost to terminal equity (c_s*P(T) - d_c). Both are in mechanism.avoidedSeizureCost. The effect is SUPER-LINEAR in the bonus wherever the price keeps falling after the seizure; mechanism.bonusSensitivity rescores it rather than reasoning about it."
  }
}